There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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How do you foresee the impact of competition on the future pricing and availability of solar panels in the Pakistani market?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp**
**Editor:** Thank you for joining us today, Muhammad. Pakistan has seen a tremendous influx of solar panels recently, particularly from China. Can you explain what has driven this surge in imports?
**Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. The major driver behind the surge is both the increasing demand for renewable energy and the profitability that has been associated with solar panel sales. In the first half of 2024, we imported 13 GW of solar panels, which highlights the market’s rapid expansion. Last year was particularly challenging due to currency issues and import restrictions, but as those eased, distributors seized the opportunity to meet growing demand.
**Editor:** You mentioned the impact of the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, where there was a restriction on imports, specifically for solar panels. How did this situation affect the market dynamics?
**Mujahid:** The crisis led to a significant drop in solar panel imports for nearly nine months. Business players that could navigate this restricted environment found themselves at an advantage. Companies that had previously engaged in other sectors, such as rice exporting, began to pivot toward solar energy due to the potential for profit, especially as import costs were low compared to local prices.
**Editor:** I’ve seen reports that solar panel costs have changed dramatically in recent months, with some units even being sold at a loss. What factors are contributing to this shift?
**Mujahid:** Yes, it’s quite remarkable. The influx of solar panels has quickly saturated the market, leading to overly competitive pricing and shrinking profit margins. We did not anticipate such a rapid market change; we expected more time for companies to adjust. As competition increases, some businesses are even forced to sell at a loss just to stay relevant in the market.
**Editor:** What does the future hold for solar energy adoption and investment in Pakistan? Are you still optimistic?
**Mujahid:** Absolutely. Despite the current market fluctuations and pricing pressures, the investment in solar technology remains a smart choice for many businesses and households. The return on investment typically begins within 18 months to two years, and as electricity prices continue to rise, solar remains an attractive option. Companies with capital are still pushing into this sector, and I believe the market will stabilize over time.
**Editor:** Thank you for your insights, Muhammad. It’s clear that while challenges exist, the potential for solar energy in Pakistan remains significant.
**Mujahid:** Thank you for having me; I appreciate the opportunity to discuss this important topic!