There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring back their dollars from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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What factors contributed to the increase in solar panel imports in Pakistan in early 2024?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp**
**Interviewer:** Thank you for joining us today, Muhammad. The recent surge in solar panel imports in Pakistan has been remarkable, with reports indicating that 13 gigawatts were imported in the first half of 2024. What do you attribute this boom to?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. The primary driver of this solar boom has been the increased demand for renewable energy solutions in Pakistan amidst ongoing electricity shortages. After the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, where we faced severe restrictions on imports, companies and investors have eagerly jumped back into the solar market as soon as the restrictions eased.
**Interviewer:** It’s interesting that even with the previous restrictions, some panels were still imported. How did companies navigate those challenges?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** During the height of the crisis, the issuance of letters of credit was significantly limited, causing a trade deficit. However, larger market players found ways to import solar panels despite these hurdles. Some leveraged their foreign earnings from other businesses, like rice exports, to bring in solar products. This meant that once the market reopened, there was a rush to saturate the domestic market with panels.
**Interviewer:** Based on your experience, how has the pricing dynamic evolved with this influx of solar panels?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Initially, the direct cost of importing panels was about $0.15 per watt, but in the local market, they were sold for $0.30 per watt, leading to significant profits. However, as more panels entered the market in 2024, profits began to decline sharply. There were even cases of panels being sold at a loss, which surprised many in the industry who anticipated a much longer boom period.
**Interviewer:** With investments pouring in from various sectors, how do you see the future of solar energy in Pakistan?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** The outlook remains positive, especially with widespread adoption from local and multinational companies. Solar energy is becoming a straightforward investment due to its quick ROI, typically realized within 18 months to two years. Even if the profitability of net metering declines, solar remains attractive due to rising electricity prices. Companies that have capital are increasingly looking toward solar as a viable option.
**Interviewer:** Thank you, Muhammad, for sharing your insights. It’s clear that Pakistan’s solar landscape is evolving rapidly, driven by both challenges and opportunities.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. I’m excited about the potential for solar in Pakistan and will continue to advocate for its growth in the coming years.