There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, Pakistan will have a demand for solar panels of about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a dollar shortage, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring back their dollars from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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How are fluctuating profit margins reshaping the landscape for solar energy companies in Pakistan?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp**
**Editor**: Thank you for joining us today, Muhammad. The recent influx of solar panels in Pakistan is quite significant. Can you share some insights into how the import surge has affected the market?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Thank you for having me. Indeed, the import of 13 GW of solar panels from China in the first half of 2024 has created a noticeable presence of solar panels across the country. This has enabled Pakistan to become the third largest market for Chinese solar exports. However, while the demand is there, it’s crucial to understand the context in which this boom has occurred.
**Editor**: You mentioned the challenges faced in 2022 due to the dollar shortage and the subsequent restrictions on imports. How did that situation impact the solar panel market?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: In 2022, the dollar shortage led to a trade deficit and an informal ban on non-essential imports, including solar panels. This created a gap in the market for nearly nine months, preventing many distributors from acquiring solar panels. However, some players managed to take advantage of this situation despite the restrictions. It was a complex landscape where a limited issuance of letters of credit facilitated a market environment that large companies could exploit.
**Editor**: That sounds challenging. Can you elaborate on the profit margins that companies experienced when importing and selling solar panels?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Initially, the direct cost of importing solar panels was $0.15 per watt, while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, generating up to a 100% profit. This lucrative opportunity drew in many businesses, including those previously focused on other sectors, like rice exports. This contributed to a significant surge in the distribution of solar panels.
**Editor**: With the market becoming saturated, how has this affected prices and profit margins for solar panels in early 2024?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: The large supply of solar panels has driven prices down, leading to low profit rates and, in some cases, businesses incurring losses. I anticipated a slower exit of companies from the market, thinking it would take more time, but the rapid changes in market dynamics have surprised many.
**Editor**: What are the prospects for solar energy investment moving forward? Are companies still inclined to pursue solar projects?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Yes, there’s still a strong interest, especially from the commercial and industrial sectors. Investment in photovoltaic technology continues, driven by local and multinational companies. As Hussain Khan from Wateen Energy Solutions mentioned, solar systems represent a straightforward investment with an ROI typically within 18 months to two years, especially given the rising electricity prices in Pakistan.
**Editor**: What challenges do you foresee for the solar energy sector in Pakistan?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Beyond the immediate market fluctuations, challenges such as currency devaluation, demand fluctuations, and regulatory issues will impact the sustainability of the growth in solar energy. Though, despite these hurdles, solar power remains a vital investment avenue as the demand for energy continues to rise.
**Editor**: Thank you for your insights, Muhammad. It seems like the solar energy market in Pakistan is in a state of flux, but the potential for growth remains significant.
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Thank you for having me. Yes, it’s an exciting time for solar energy in Pakistan, and I believe with the right strategies and investments, the sector can flourish.