There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, Pakistan will have a demand for solar panels of about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a dollar shortage, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring back their dollars from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp**
**Interviewer:** Thank you for joining us today, Muhammad. It’s fascinating to hear about the increasing prevalence of solar panels in Pakistan and the significant imports we’ve seen recently. What are your thoughts on the 13 GW of solar panels imported from China in the first half of 2024?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. The surge in solar panel imports is a clear indicator of Pakistan’s growing interest in renewable energy. However, it also reflects a market responding to urgent energy needs amidst a backdrop of previous restrictions. The 2022 dollar shortage significantly hampered our imports, so it’s a relief to see progress now.
**Interviewer:** You mentioned earlier about the difficulties distributors faced during the dollar shortage. How did this impact the market?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** During that time, only essential goods were prioritized for import, which essentially sidelined solar panels for about nine months. This restriction limited competition and allowed larger players with better resources to dominate the market during that period. It was a challenging time, and many smaller companies struggled to survive.
**Interviewer:** It seems like the price disparity between imported panels and local market selling prices created opportunities. Can you elaborate on that?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Certainly. The direct cost of importing was around $0.15 per watt, but locally they were selling for $0.30 per watt. This created a lucrative profit margin that attracted various businesses, even those outside the traditional solar sector. It was a gold rush of sorts for anyone who could facilitate these imports.
**Interviewer:** You pointed out that selling solar panels was relatively easy. What do you think accounted for this ease of entry into the market?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** I believe it’s due to the high demand and relatively straightforward product offering. Most people can recognize the value of solar panels, and they do not require extensive technical knowledge to sell. This accessibility has encouraged many to invest, seeing it as a simple way to tap into a growing market.
**Interviewer:** With the influx of panels and perhaps oversupply leading to decreased profit margins, do you foresee any challenges ahead for these companies?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Yes, as we’ve seen, the market’s rapid expansion has resulted in some firms selling at a loss. I didn’t anticipate such a quick exit from the market. It’s a classic case of too much supply too fast. The profitable days might be short-lived unless these companies can innovate or differentiate themselves.
**Interviewer:** Hussain Khan from Wateen Energy Solutions mentioned that solar systems can provide a return on investment within 18 months to two years. With rising electricity prices, do you believe this trend will continue?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Absolutely. Regardless of changes in net metering regulations, solar power remains a solid investment, especially in a context where electricity costs are escalating due to various economic issues, including currency fluctuations and governance challenges. The long-term benefits overshadow short-term turbulence.
**Interviewer:** Lastly, what’s your outlook for the solar market in Pakistan in the coming years?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** I am optimistic. There’s a growing trend among commercial and industrial sectors to invest in photovoltaic technology, and the public is becoming more aware of the benefits of solar energy. As capacity grows and technology improves, I believe we will see even more investment, helping to stabilize the market.
**Interviewer:** Thank you for your insights, Muhammad. It’s an exciting time for solar energy in Pakistan, and we look forward to seeing how the market evolves.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. I’m excited to share this journey as we work towards a more sustainable energy future in Pakistan.