There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, Pakistan will have a demand for solar panels of about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a dollar shortage, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring back their dollars from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp**
**Editor:** Thank you for joining us today, Muhammad. The recent surge in solar panel imports and installations in Pakistan is remarkable. Can you share your thoughts on the current state of the solar energy market in Pakistan?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. The solar energy market in Pakistan has indeed seen significant developments recently. In the first half of 2024 alone, we imported 13 GW of solar panels from China, making Pakistan a major player in the global solar market.
**Editor:** That’s quite an increase. What do you attribute this surge to, especially considering the economic challenges Pakistan faced in 2022?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** The economic challenges were indeed significant. The central bank faced a dollar shortage, leading to a trade deficit, which restricted imports. However, after those restrictions were eased, there was a flood of orders for solar panels. The profit margins became highly attractive, with direct costs at $0.15 per watt and local selling prices reaching $0.30 per watt. This drew many players into the market.
**Editor:** It’s interesting to see how profit drives the market. You’ve mentioned that selling solar panels doesn’t require much experience. Does that affect the quality of what’s being sold?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Unfortunately, yes. While it makes it easier for new companies to enter the market, it also means that there’s a risk of lower-quality products being sold. It’s essential for consumers to be vigilant and ensure they are purchasing from reputable manufacturers.
**Editor:** Given the influx of solar panels in 2024, are you concerned about a potential drop in prices or even losses for vendors?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Absolutely. With such a high volume of solar panels, we’ve already started to see prices drop, and some companies are even selling at a loss. I didn’t expect such a rapid exit from the market, especially when capitalists were initially reaping significant profits.
**Editor:** That’s a very quick turnaround. How do you see the investment landscape in solar energy evolving in Pakistan moving forward?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** I believe we’ll continue to see substantial investments from both local and multinational firms, particularly in photovoltaic technology. For many, investing in solar energy is straightforward; systems typically yield positive ROI within 18 months to two years.
**Editor:** Given the rising electricity prices in Pakistan, how do you foresee the future of solar energy as a viable alternative?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Even with potential changes in net metering policies, solar energy will remain a strong investment. The increase in electricity prices due to various economic factors, including currency devaluation and demand volatility, only emphasizes the need for renewable energy solutions.
**Editor:** Thank you, Muhammad, for sharing your insights on the evolving solar energy landscape in Pakistan. It seems there are both challenges and significant opportunities ahead.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. I’m optimistic about the future of solar energy in Pakistan, and I believe it plays a crucial role in addressing our energy needs sustainably.