There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, Pakistan will have a demand for solar panels of about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, the central bank of Pakistan faced a shortage of dollars, which led to a trade deficit. There was an informal ban on air and imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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How do you foresee the future of profitability in the solar energy market given the current saturation and increasing competition?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp**
**Editor:** Thank you for joining us today, Mr. Mujahid. Pakistan seems to be experiencing a significant surge in solar panel imports. Can you give us an overview of the current solar market in the country?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. Yes, indeed, Pakistan has become a hotspot for solar panels, especially with the import of 13 GW of solar panels from China in the first half of 2024. Our demand is expected to reach 3.5 GW this year, making us the third-largest market for Chinese solar exports.
**Editor:** That’s impressive growth. However, I recall that there were challenges in 2022 due to a foreign exchange crisis. How did that affect the solar industry?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** The crisis indeed had a significant impact. The central bank suffered from a shortage of dollars, leading to restrictions on imports. Only essential goods were allowed, which prevented the import of solar panels for nearly nine months. Although some panels trickled in, many distributors faced operational barriers due to limited letters of credit, which are crucial for imports.
**Editor:** It sounds like a tough situation. Were there any positive outcomes from this crisis?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Certainly. The crisis did create an opportunity for bigger players in the market. Some companies that were traditionally involved in agriculture, like those exporting rice, began importing solar panels, thus diversifying their business and increasing the distribution of panels. The high profit margins encouraged many to enter the solar market.
**Editor:** With those high profits, it seems enticing, but it appears the landscape has changed recently. Can you explain what’s happening now in terms of profitability?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Yes, the saturation of the market has led to a significant drop in profit margins. Many panels are now being sold at a loss due to excess supply. I underestimated how quickly capitalists would exit the market when the profit potential decreased. It took many by surprise.
**Editor:** Investment in solar and photovoltaic technology has seen great interest from companies. What are some of the reasons for this shift?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Investors see solar as a straightforward investment. Typically, returns on investment are realized within 18 months to two years. With ongoing electricity price increases due to various national issues, solar remains a strong alternative for businesses looking to reduce energy costs.
**Editor:** do you see a sustainable future for solar energy in Pakistan, despite the challenges and fluctuations?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Absolutely. Even if the profitability of net metering diminishes, the fundamentals of the solar market in Pakistan remain strong. Solar energy will continue to be an excellent investment because of the continually rising electricity prices and increasing demand for affordable energy solutions.
**Editor:** Thank you for your insights, Mr. Mujahid. It’s clear that while the solar market in Pakistan is navigating challenges, there is a bright future ahead for renewable energy.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. I look forward to seeing how the industry evolves!