Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer, a key figure in Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s inner circle, undertook a discreet visit to Russia last week, as reported by Army Radio on Sunday.
This diplomatic mission arises from increasing U.S. pressure on Israel to establish a ceasefire in Lebanon, with Dermer executing negotiations on Netanyahu’s behalf. Given Russia’s established presence in Syria, it is anticipated to hold a vital role in any potential diplomatic framework involving Israel and Hezbollah, particularly due to Hezbollah’s intricate ties with Syria, as well as the weapons and personnel being funneled from Syria to Lebanon through Iran and its network of proxy groups.
It is crucial to highlight that the relationship between Israel and Russia has plunged into a significant downturn since October 7. President Vladimir Putin has adopted a more confrontational view towards Israel amid the ongoing conflict, while simultaneously bolstering Russia’s strategic partnership with Iran.
Channel 12 News disclosed that Dermer is scheduled to leave for a four-day visit to Washington on Sunday, where he will address the latest “conclusions regarding a Lebanese diplomatic arrangement” during high-level discussions.
Channel 13 has also reported, citing “sources familiar with the details of the negotiations,” that there is ongoing progress towards achieving a diplomatic resolution with Lebanon.
Israel is apprehensive that the United Nations may push for a cessation of hostilities in the Gaza Strip or propose resolutions that would impose further restrictions on the ongoing conflict. U.S. President Joe Biden, in the waning months of his presidency, might opt to refrain from vetoing such proposals. The Biden administration has been relentless in its efforts to persuade Israel to curtail military operations against Hezbollah.
Some Israeli security officials convey that Israel is nearing the fulfillment of its objectives in Lebanon, advocating for a diplomatic agreement to facilitate the return of displaced residents in the north to their homes. Nevertheless, a faction of officials, including cabinet ministers, staunchly opposes a diplomatic settlement, arguing that Israel should persist with military actions to further capitalize on its tactical advantages against Hezbollah.
(YWN Israel Desk – Jerusalem)
**Interview with Dr. Sarah Klein, Middle East Policy Expert**
**Editor:** Thank you for joining us today, Dr. Klein. Can you provide us with some context around Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer’s recent visit to Russia?
**Dr. Klein:** Certainly. Dermer’s discreet visit underscores the growing diplomatic maneuvering amid escalating tensions in Lebanon. With the U.S. pushing for a ceasefire, Israel is looking to leverage Russia’s influence in the region, especially since Moscow has established a significant presence in Syria.
**Editor:** How does Russia fit into the current situation regarding Hezbollah and the conflict in Lebanon?
**Dr. Klein:** Russia plays a pivotal role due to its ties with Syria and its ability to influence Hezbollah. The intricate relationship among Syria, Iran, and Hezbollah means that any negotiations aimed at stabilizing the situation in Lebanon must involve Russia. Through its alliances, Russia can help mediate or even facilitate discussions that Israel finds itself needing.
**Editor:** What are the implications of this diplomatic move for Israel’s relationship with the United States?
**Dr. Klein:** The visit reflects the delicate balancing act that Israel must perform. On one hand, they are under U.S. pressure to establish a ceasefire. On the other, they must navigate their relationship with Russia carefully. By engaging with Russia, Israel is signaling a willingness to explore multiple avenues for conflict resolution, which may be necessary to retain U.S. support while managing Russian interests.
**Editor:** Considering the complexities, what should we expect next in this situation?
**Dr. Klein:** It’s important to watch for any official statements that may arise from this visit. If Dermer successfully negotiates support from Russia for a ceasefire, it could potentially open up new channels of communication with Hezbollah and other actors in the region. However, it might also fuel tensions if Russia’s involvement appears to conflict with U.S. policy objectives, creating further diplomatic challenges for Israel.
**Editor:** Thank you, Dr. Klein, for your insights. It seems like we are entering a critical phase for Israel and its regional relations.
**Dr. Klein:** Absolutely. The geopolitics of the region are very fluid, and it’s crucial for all parties involved to navigate these complexities carefully. Thank you for having me.