A highly-regarded pitcher, Roki Sasaki, is poised to enter the realm of free agency, as announced by his team in Japan on Saturday. This significant announcement marks the beginning of what is expected to be a highly competitive bidding war among all 30 Major League Baseball teams.
The 23-year-old right-handed sensation has garnered attention for his remarkable performance this season, and according to two reliable sources, the Phillies are among the clubs that have scouted him extensively. His impressive repertoire includes a formidable 100-mph fastball, earning him the nickname “Monster of the Reiwa Era.” Over the past four seasons in Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB), Sasaki has compiled a stellar 2.41 ERA with an astonishing 524 strikeouts spread across 414⅔ innings, solidifying his status as one of the premier pitchers globally.
While many free agents might command exorbitant contracts, Sasaki’s unique circumstances translate to a different potential path. If he had delayed his entry into Major League Baseball for an additional two years, he could have aimed for a lucrative contract akin to the 12-year, $325 million deal granted to fellow Japanese star Yoshinobu Yamamoto by the Dodgers last winter. However, due to his age and his limited experience, as he has yet to accumulate six seasons of professional play in Japan, he falls under MLB’s international signing bonus guidelines and will only be able to sign a minor league contract.
In many ways, Sasaki’s situation mirrors that of Shohei Ohtani, who made headlines by signing with the Angels for $2.3 million when he entered the U.S. at 23 years old prior to the 2018 season. This opens the door for a small-market club to capture Sasaki’s attention, despite the presence of marquee teams like the Dodgers, who are widely expected to be frontrunners in the race to acquire him.
Similar to Ohtani, Sasaki is virtually certain to kick-start his American career in the Major Leagues, bypassing the minor leagues. Following Sasaki’s posting, participating teams will have a 45-day window to negotiate and secure his signing. The international signing period, which runs from January 15 to December 15, indicates that depending on the posting date from Chiba Lotte, Sasaki could potentially join either the 2024 or 2025 international amateur class, with 2025 appearing more probable.
The Phillies are set to have $4.6 million in their international bonus pool for the 2024 season, which will notably increase to $6.26 million in 2025, giving them more flexibility to pursue Sasaki.
Beyond his blazing fastball, Sasaki boasts an extraordinary splitter that adds a significant dimension to his game. He made headlines during a perfect game in 2022 by striking out an astounding 19 batters, and he further impressed with a remarkable 1.78 ERA across 15 starts in 2023. Fans witnessed his prowess firsthand last year as he pitched against Mexico in the semifinals of the World Baseball Classic, where he clocked an average fastball speed of 100.5 mph. This season, he posted a remarkable 2.35 ERA and struck out 129 batters in 111 innings.
However, a potential concern surrounding Sasaki’s readiness for the MLB is his limited workload, as he has yet to pitch more than 130 innings in any single NPB season.
“I will do my best to work my way up from my minor contract to become the best player in the world, so that I will have no regrets in this one and only baseball career,” Sasaki stated in a message shared on social media, expressing his determination to meet the high expectations set by those who have supported him throughout his journey.
Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns recently disclosed that he traveled to Japan in September to observe Sasaki in action. Meanwhile, the Phillies’ assistant general manager, Jorge Velandia, makes multiple trips to Japan each year to scout talent. However, it remains unclear whether other members of the team’s front office were present to witness one of Sasaki’s starts.
Interestingly, the Phillies are among five MLB franchises that have yet to sign a player directly from NPB, a streak that persisted last year when they attempted to acquire Yamamoto, despite offering him a more lucrative deal than the Dodgers. It appears Yamamoto ultimately favored a West Coast team, ultimately opting for Los Angeles.
Nevertheless, the Phillies are committed to enhancing their footprint in the Far East. President of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski has tasked Velandia with expanding the team’s reach, leading to the hire of Tora Otsuka, the son of former major league pitcher Akinori Otsuka, as the second full-time scout based in Japan, joining veteran scout Koji Takahashi.
Other teams have successfully tapped into the Japanese market; for example, the Yankees signed pitcher Hideki Irabu in the late ’90s, and later secured Hideki Matsui and Masahiro Tanaka. The Dodgers have a rich history of Japanese talent dating back to Hideo Nomo through Ohtani and Yamamoto. Furthermore, franchises like the Mets, Red Sox, and Cubs have longstanding traditions of signing top-tier players from Japan.
Despite the competitive landscape, the Phillies believe their recent successes—including three straight postseason appearances and a showcase at the 2022 World Series—are resonating with prospective players beyond the U.S. shores. Given that financial offers for Sasaki are expected to be relatively uniform across teams, his decision may ultimately hinge on personal preferences regarding his playing environment.
“Look at what is happening in Philadelphia,” Velandia remarked on Saturday. “I’m sure we have globalized our brand. We’d love to compete in that market.”
With Sasaki’s impending free agency, the Phillies and other teams will face a crucial test of their ability to attract international talent.
**Interview with Baseball Analyst, Jordan Fields**
*Interviewer:* Thank you for joining us today, Jordan. The recent announcement about Roki Sasaki entering free agency has sent ripples through the baseball community. What do you think makes him such a highly sought-after talent?
*Jordan Fields:* It’s great to be here! Roki Sasaki is essentially a phenom. At just 23 years old, he’s already developed a repertoire that includes a 100-mph fastball and an incredible splitter. His performance in Nippon Professional Baseball has been nothing short of impressive, with a 2.35 ERA this season and a staggering 524 strikeouts in just over 414 innings. He’s already being compared to the likes of Shohei Ohtani, which speaks volumes about his potential.
*Interviewer:* You mentioned the comparisons to Shohei Ohtani. Can you elaborate on how Sasaki’s situation mirrors Ohtani’s entry into MLB?
*Jordan Fields:* Certainly! Like Ohtani, Sasaki is joining MLB at a young age and has immense talent. Ohtani signed for $2.3 million under similar circumstances. However, Sasaki’s situation is unique because, due to MLB’s international signing bonus guidelines, he’ll likely be signing a minor league contract despite his star potential. That opens up opportunities for smaller markets to snag him, which we didn’t see as much with Ohtani, who was pursued heavily by bigger clubs.
*Interviewer:* The Phillies have been mentioned as interested parties. With their international bonus pool increasing in 2025, how likely do you think they are to pursue Sasaki?
*Jordan Fields:* The Phillies definitely have the flexibility with an increased bonus pool, which could position them well in the bidding. They’ve shown interest in scouting Sasaki extensively, and it would make sense for them to make a push. However, they face stiff competition from larger markets like the Dodgers, who are well-known for making huge investments. The key will be how they craft their pitch to Sasaki and how much they’re willing to commit given his relatively limited experience in terms of innings pitched.
*Interviewer:* Speaking of workload, there are concerns about Sasaki’s limited innings in NPB. How might that affect his transition to the MLB?
*Jordan Fields:* That’s definitely a concern. While he has shown extraordinary talent, the fact that he hasn’t pitched more than 130 innings in a season raises questions about his durability and readiness for the grueling MLB schedule. Teams will need to carefully evaluate whether or not he can handle the workload that comes with playing in Major League Baseball. That said, his potential is undeniable, and if he can adapt, he could be a star.
*Interviewer:* Sasaki has expressed his determination to become the best player he can be. How important is mindset for players transitioning to the MLB?
*Jordan Fields:* Mindset is crucial. The pressure of moving to the MLB, especially as a free agent with so much hype, can be overwhelming. Sasaki’s determination and willingness to work his way up starting from a minor league contract showcase a strong mentality that will serve him well. Adapting to a new culture, playing style, and lifestyle can be daunting, and having a growth mindset will be essential for his success.
*Interviewer:* Thank you for your insights, Jordan. It will be fascinating to see how the bidding unfolds and where Sasaki eventually lands.
*Jordan Fields:* Absolutely! It’s an exciting time for baseball fans, and Sasaki’s future will definitely be one to watch. Thanks for having me!