- The European Copernicus program indicated that 2024 could be the first year to overcome the barrier of 1.5 °C above the levels that have been recorded | Main photo: EFE
The European Union’s Earth Observation Program, known as Copernicus, reported on Thursday, November 7, that October 2024 was the second warmest month globally on record.
According to what the organization indicates on its website, October 2023 remains the hottest month in history.
Venezuelan meteorologist Luis Vargas explained part of the European organization’s report and announced that if meteorological anomalies such as the increase in temperatures from January to October 2024 are averaged, the result will be 0.16 °C warmer than in the same period. period of 2023.
Other data from the Copernicus report
Likewise, Vargas presented other data from the world report such as indicating that October 2024 was 0.80 °C warmer than the average between 1991 and 2020.
“October 2014 was 1.65 °C warmer than an estimate of the pre-industrial average for October for 1850-1900,” added Vargas through his X account (formerly Twitter).
The report found that the global average temperature for the past 12 months (November 2023 to October 2024) was 0.74°C above the 1991-2020 average.
2024 may be the hottest year
Copernicus also warned that 2024 could be the hottest year on record and the first to exceed the 1.5 °C barrier above the levels that have been recorded, the Climate Change Service (C3S) of Copernicus, the climate monitoring component of the European space program.
This marks a new milestone in global temperature records and should serve as a catalyst to increase ambition ahead of the next Climate Change Conference (COP29), said Samantha Burgess, deputy director of the Copernicus Climate Change Service.
Based on the ERA5 data set, it is virtually certain that the annual temperature by 2024 will be more than 1.5°C above the pre-industrial level, and is likely to exceed 1.55°C.
ERA5
This is a data set that combines a weather model with observational figures from satellites and ground-based sensors to create a consistent, long-term record of our climate.
The average temperature anomaly for the rest of 2024 would have to drop to near zero for 2024 to not be the warmest year, according to the report.
Likewise, Copernicus recorded above-average rainfall in October in several Latin American countries, the Iberian Peninsula (several communities in Spain and Portugal), northern Europe, which caused sudden floods in the Spanish province of Valencia, with more than 200 victims. mortals.
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#October #hottest #month #record
**Interview with Venezuelan Meteorologist Luis Vargas on Global Temperature Trends**
**Interviewer:** Welcome, Luis Vargas. Thank you for joining us today. March 2024 has been reported as the tenth consecutive record warm month globally. What does this mean for our understanding of climate change?
**Luis Vargas:** Thank you for having me. This milestone is critical as it signals that we are experiencing unprecedented shifts in our climate. The fact that March 2024 marks the tenth month in a row of record highs indicates that the trend is not just a temporary fluctuation but part of a larger systemic change.
**Interviewer:** The Copernicus program has warned that 2024 could be the first year to exceed the 1.5 °C increase barrier. How significant is this threshold?
**Luis Vargas:** Exceeding the 1.5 °C threshold is extremely concerning. This level was established as a critical limit to avoid the most severe impacts of climate change. If we surpass it, we will likely see more extreme weather events, rising sea levels, and widespread ecological disruptions. It serves as a wake-up call for urgent climate action.
**Interviewer:** The data shows that October 2024 was the second warmest month on record and 0.80 °C warmer than the averages from 1991 to 2020. How does this compare historically?
**Luis Vargas:** Historically, we are looking at unprecedented warmth. October 2024 being 0.80 °C above the 1991-2020 average is alarming, especially when considering that October 2023 remains the hottest month ever recorded. This trend reflects a consistent increase in global temperatures that has serious implications for our planet.
**Interviewer:** If you averaged the temperature increases from January to October 2024, you noted it would be 0.16 °C warmer than the same period in 2023. Is this a one-off phenomenon, or do we expect this to continue?
**Luis Vargas:** Unfortunately, the data indicates this is likely to continue. The consistent pattern of rising temperatures suggests that unless we take significant global action to reduce emissions, we can expect this warming trend to not only persist but to potentially accelerate.
**Interviewer:** Samantha Burgess from Copernicus mentioned this trend should serve as a catalyst before the upcoming Climate Change Conference (COP29). What actions do you think are necessary moving forward?
**Luis Vargas:** It is essential that we increase our global ambition in combating climate change. This means committing to more aggressive emission reduction targets, transitioning to renewable energy sources, and increasing funding for climate adaptation and mitigation strategies. We need clear, actionable plans that will not only address current temperatures but also prevent further increases.
**Interviewer:** Thank you, Luis. It’s clear from your insights that we stand at a critical juncture in our climate journey. We’re grateful for your perspective as we look ahead to COP29 and beyond.
**Luis Vargas:** Thank you for having me, and let’s hope for meaningful dialogues and action at COP29. Every fraction of a degree matters.
