One month before the hurricane season ends, the Caribbean is still active and with the probability of new cyclonic developments. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is closely monitoring several tropical disturbances that could evolve into storms in the coming days.
Disturbance in southern Cuba
One of the areas of interest is a disturbance that has remained near southern Jamaica in recent days. This system now has a 70% chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next seven days and a 30% chance in the next 48 hours. Forecasters indicate that the system could become a tropical depression over the weekend or early next week, moving north or northwest.
Even if the system does not intensify quickly, the NHC warns of possible intense downpours in areas of the western Caribbean near the phenomenon.
Low pressure area near Puerto Rico
Another system, a disturbance that emerged this Thursday, is located in an area of low pressure near Puerto Rico. This phenomenon presents a 10% chance of cyclonic development in the next two to seven days. The NHC indicates that the system could evolve slowly as it moves west-northwest, moving near the Greater Antilles. This disturbance is expected, however, to merge with another area of low pressure present in the Caribbean before significant development.
North Atlantic
Additionally, the National Hurricane Center has identified a third low pressure system in a remote region of the North Atlantic. This area, although it does not have tropical characteristics, is also under surveillance for its potential non-tropical development.
Meteorologists continue to monitor these disturbances and advise vulnerable areas of the Caribbean and throughout the Greater Antilles to follow official updates, as the possibility of heavy rain and adverse weather conditions remains latent in the coming days.
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Maria Castillo trainer
**Interview with Dr. Maria Castillo, Meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center**
**Editor:** Thank you for joining us today, Dr. Castillo. With just one month left in the official hurricane season for the Caribbean, can you tell us what we should expect in the coming weeks?
**Dr. Castillo:** Thank you for having me. Yes, we’re indeed monitoring several tropical disturbances as we approach the end of hurricane season, which concludes on November 30th. While the peak of the season is behind us, we’re not out of the woods yet. Conditions remain conducive for cyclonic developments, particularly in the Caribbean.
**Editor:** There’s been mention of a disturbance near southern Cuba. Could you elaborate on that?
**Dr. Castillo:** Certainly. The disturbance near southern Jamaica is one of our key areas of focus. It has shown signs of organization and could become more pronounced in the next few days. We are continuously analyzing satellite imagery and other meteorological data to assess its potential to develop into a tropical storm or hurricane.
**Editor:** What precautions should travelers take at this point in the season, especially those planning to visit the Caribbean?
**Dr. Castillo:** Travelers should stay informed about the weather conditions in their destination of choice. It’s advisable to keep in touch with local weather reports and heed any warnings or advisories issued by authorities. Additionally, having a hurricane preparedness plan—such as knowing evacuation routes and having emergency supplies—can make a crucial difference.
**Editor:** Are there specific areas that are more prone to cyclones during this time?
**Dr. Castillo:** Yes, certain parts of the Caribbean, particularly those located closer to the southeastern U.S. and Central America, are historically more vulnerable. However, it’s important to remember that hurricanes can be unpredictable. Even areas not typically affected can experience cyclones, so vigilance is key.
**Editor:** Thank you, Dr. Castillo, for your insights. It’s important for travelers and residents alike to remain alert during this time.
**Dr. Castillo:** Thank you for the opportunity to discuss this critical issue. Stay safe and informed!