The risk of banks: takeover of MPS (with Aponte), here’s what investors need to know – Turin News

The Italian banking landscape continues to be at the center of major transformations, a genuine banking risk, he writes Forbes. Where that, while UniCredit attacks Commerzbank, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS) is also back in the spotlight. Rumors suggest that a group of entrepreneurs, led by Enrico Marchipresident of Banca Finint e Saveis evaluating the acquisition of a significant share of the historic Sienese bank. And among them there would also be the billionaire shipowner Gianluigi Aponte.

Enrico Marchi’s strategy

The interest of Enrico Marchi and his group for MPS is part of a strategy that could be similar to that of F2i-Digital Networkwhich saw investments of around 1 billion euros in Netcothe spin-off of the TIM network, next to the fund KKR and to the Mef, the Ministry of Economy and Finance. In this context, Marchi is reportedly considering the purchase of a stake between 7.5% and 11.5% of MPS from the Mef, bringing together important investors, including theEnpam and, precisely, Gianluigi Aponteleader of the group MSC, which recently took over the newspaper Secolo XIX from Gedi di John Elkann.

The entrance of Unipol and the Axa node

One of the most delicate points of the operation concerns the possible entry into the scene of Unipol as a business partner. Carlo Cimbripresident of Unipol, has expressed interest several times in a bancassurance partnership, with the possibility of acquiring a share of less than 10% of MPS capital. However, a possible obstacle emerges here: MPS has an agreement in place with Axawhich lasts until 2027, regarding insurance services. The issue will require the intervention of legal experts to assess the feasibility of the operation and the compatibility of Unipol with the agreement already in place.

The race on the stock market

Upon hearing the news of the possible consortium, in Bag there was a large number of purchases of the institute’s shares, so much so that at the end of the day MPS recorded a +3.09%, reaching new annual highs of 5.34 euros per share. According to Teleborsa “The short-term examination of Monte dei Paschi Bank classify a strengthening of the bullish phase with immediate resistance seen at 5.454 and first support identified at 5.112. Technically, a further upward trend in the curve is expected towards new tops estimated in the 5.796 area”.

The risk for investors

Teleborsa, however, always warns: “The investment is effective suitable for risk-taking investorswho decide to put huge sums at risk despite thehigh daily volatility that the title presents, equal to 2.417. Banca MPS appears to be at the center of market interest given that the daily volumes of 27,513,255 are higher than those of the moving average of 12,862,295″.

The Rollercoaster Ride of the Italian Banking Scene

Ah, the Italian banking sector! It’s becoming more complex than figuring out if your espresso is strong enough to fuel a Vespa down the Amalfi Coast. According to Forbes, this sector is undergoing major transformations, hinting at a genuine banking risk—sort of like betting on the local team to win the championship when they haven’t won a game since the invention of the wheel.

UniCredit vs. Commerzbank: A Classic Standoff

While UniCredit seems to be throwing punches at Commerzbank—it’s almost like a pasta fight gone wrong—Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS) has swirled back into the limelight. Rumor has it that a cabal of entrepreneurs, led by none other than Enrico Marchi, president of Banca Finint and no doubt someone who knows how to throw a proper Italian dinner party, is eyeing MPS for acquisition. Imagine a billionaire shipowner like Gianluigi Aponte joining the fray. It’s like Avengers: Endgame, but for banking! Who knew saving a bank could be more action-packed than a 007 film?

Enrico Marchi’s Strategic Moves

Now, Marchi has got a strategy that reminds us of the old F2i-Digital Network investment bonanza, shelling out about 1 billion euros into Netco. That’s a chunk of change! Apparently, he’s looking at buying between 7.5% and 11.5% of MPS from the Ministry of Economy and Finance. I mean, at that rate, I might consider selling my collection of vintage Italian football cards!

Unipol: The New Kid on the Block?

Let’s bring in Unipol—the insurance giant that’s been eyeing almost every move MPS makes. Their leader, Carlo Cimbri, has been vocal about wanting in on the bancassurance game. However, here’s the twist: MPS is tied up in a rather long-term relationship with Axa—like a soap opera that’s gone on for too long. The legal experts must be sharpening their pencils because navigating those waters is trickier than a first-date conversation about exes—doable but risky!

The Stock Market: A Frenzy of Activity

On hearing whispers of this consortium formation, investors went wild, showering MPS with affection, pushing its shares up by 3.09%. We’re talking about new annual highs of 5.34 euros per share! Seems like even in banking, the thrill of the chase ignites passions. According to Teleborsa, MPS is seeing a bullish phase, and if this keeps up, they might as well install a ‘rocket to the moon’ sign right next to the ticker tape.

Risk and Reward: The Investor’s Dilemma

But wait! Before you whip out your wallets, let’s talk risks. Teleborsa is waving a caution flag here—this investment is best suited for those who enjoy a bit of risk, akin to bungee jumping without checking the cords. The daily volatility is sitting at around 2.417; they might as well serve it with a side of espresso! And beware, with daily volumes surpassing the moving average, those brave enough to ride this rollercoaster should fasten their seatbelts well.

Final Thoughts

In conclusion, the Italian banking scene is in flux, filled with as much suspense as a whodunnit, and just as many twists and turns. Like Lee Evans might say, “You never know what’s around the corner… it might just be another bank looking to make a splash!” If you navigate this landscape carefully, who knows—you might just come out with a profit or at least a sensational story for your next dinner party. Bellissimo!

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