Downward Plunge: Flawed Government Decisions Ignite Deflationary Crisis

Downward Plunge: Flawed Government Decisions Ignite Deflationary Crisis
Illustration (MI/Adam Dwi)

Director of Economics at the Center of Economic and Law Studies (Celios) Nailul Huda assesses that the current deflation is mostly caused by weakening people’s purchasing power due to inappropriate government policies.

Likewise, core inflation in September 2024 was recorded at 0.16%, or down from 0.20% in August 2024. This shows a decline in people’s purchasing power.

“If we link it with other supporting data, it also shows that people’s ability is decreasing. Savings, for example, people’s ability to save is now weakening, in fact now they are eating up their savings,” said Huda.

Also read: The government should not be busy entertaining itself in the midst of deflation

Therefore, Huda asked the government to be wiser in making policies, so as not to have a negative impact on household consumption.

“The plan to increase the VAT rate next year must be cancelled. Pertalite restrictions must also be carried out carefully by looking at the element of justice for subsidy recipients,” he stressed.

In the capital city of the archipelago (IKN), East Kalimantan, President Joko Widodo (Jokowi) emphasized that deflation and inflation should be controlled together so as not to harm all parties.

Also read: Economists Say Domestic Factors Cause Indonesia to Experience Consecutive Deflation

“Whatever is called deflation or inflation, both must be controlled so that prices are stable, not harming producers, whether they be farmers, fishermen, MSMEs, manufacturers, but also from the consumer side so that prices don’t rise,” said the President.

He asked that the causes of the deflation data must be further checked, whether it was due to a decrease in the price of goods or a decrease in people’s purchasing power.

“Just check carefully, deflation is due to a decrease in the prices of goods, because the supply is good, because distribution is good, because there are no obstacles in transportation, or because purchasing power is reduced. Control is what is needed, balance is what is needed,” said the President. (Z-11)

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Deflation ⁤and its Impact on‌ the‌ Economy: An Analysis⁤ of Recent Trends

As a news writer, I recently came across an⁢ article discussing the current state of deflation and its potential causes. According⁢ to Nailul Huda, Director of Economics at the Center of‍ Economic and Law Studies (Celios), the current ⁢deflation is⁤ largely attributed to the weakening of people’s‌ purchasing power due to inappropriate government policies. ⁢But what exactly is deflation, and ⁤how ​does it impact the economy?

Understanding Deflation

Deflation‌ is defined as a decrease in the price of goods and ‍services over ​time,⁢ resulting in an ‍increase⁤ in ​the purchasing ​power of a currency [1[1[1[1]. ‌It is a real decrease in prices, as ‍opposed to disinflation, which refers to⁤ a slowdown in ‍inflation rates [2[2[2[2]. ⁤In⁢ simpler ⁤terms,⁣ deflation ⁣is when the prices ⁣of goods and services fall, allowing consumers to afford more things with the same amount of money⁢ [3[3[3[3].

The ⁣Current⁣ State of Deflation

The article ‍highlights ⁢that⁤ core inflation in September 2024 was ⁣recorded at 0.16%, a​ decline from 0.20% ⁣in August 2024. This indicates a trend of decreasing prices, which is consistent with deflation. However, the ⁣causes of deflation can be complex and multifaceted. In ‌this‍ case, Nailul Huda attributes the‍ current⁣ deflation to weakening​ people’s purchasing power due to‍ government policies.

Impact on the​ Economy

Deflation⁣ can have ⁢both positive and negative effects on the economy. ⁣On the ⁤one hand, decreasing prices can increase‍ consumers’⁣ purchasing power, allowing them to ‍afford⁤ more goods and services. This can lead to increased economic​ activity and ‍growth. On the other hand, deflation can⁢ also lead to decreased spending and investment,⁤ as consumers ‍may delay purchases‍ in anticipation of ‍lower prices ⁤in the future.

Conclusion

deflation is a decrease in the price of ⁢goods ⁤and services ‌over time, resulting in⁣ an increase in the purchasing⁢ power ​of a currency. The current state of deflation​ in the economy is likely caused by‌ a ‍combination‌ of factors, including government policies. While deflation can have ‍both positive⁢ and negative effects on the economy, it is essential to understand its underlying causes and effects ​to‌ develop effective policies⁤ to address‌ it. By ⁤analyzing the ⁣trends and causes of deflation, ⁤we can⁤ gain a deeper⁤ understanding of the complex interactions within the economy and develop strategies⁣ to promote‌ sustainable growth and stability.

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