Cliodynamics, the solution to Mexico’s problems

Through the use of the cliodynamics Patterns that are repeated throughout history can be identified and that can help solve social problems, establishes Carlos Anaya andn an article published yesterday.

Based on this method—coined by Peter Turchin, pioneer of cliodynamics—the author offers some solutions to the problems in Mexico.

For example, in labor terms, it proposes important axes such as increasing real wages, greater investment in training and technical education, and also the formalization of employment.

In terms of wealth redistribution, it proposes a progressive tax reform, the implementation of a wealth tax and, above all, social welfare policies.

In other points it also establishes that the educational system must be reformed; promotion of entrepreneurship and greater inclusive political participation.

In all cases, the author elaborates on each of the possible solutions. He also talks about intelligent austerity and the promotion of economic growth.

The author says that to get out of the crisis that Mexico seems to be entering, it is essential to comprehensively address the factors that generate instability: the impoverishment of the people, growing inequality, the overproduction of elites and the loss of trust in institutions. .

Determining factor

Finally, the increase in public debt is another factor that can lead to a crisis.

In Mexico, debt has increased significantly in recent years, limiting the government’s ability to implement social and economic policies that favor the well-being of the population.

Uncontrolled debt is a burden that reduces investment in infrastructure, health and education, which in turn can deepen inequality and generate more instability, Turchin noted.

To prevent debt from becoming an unsustainable burden, there needs to be intelligent (“non-republican”) austerity.

Instead of drastic cuts that affect the most vulnerable sectors, Mexico should implement an austerity policy that prioritizes investment in key sectors, such as education, health and infrastructure, while controlling spending in non-essential areas such as “Pharaonic Works” .

For its part, to reduce public debt, it is essential to promote sustainable economic growth for the country.

This implies the creation of formal jobs, the strengthening of the domestic market and the diversification of the economy to reduce dependence on exports and fluctuations in international prices, the article noted.— Megamedia