According to the preliminary overall results published by the Ministry of the Interior that night, the Freedom Party received 29.21 percent of the vote – and that with a record increase of 13.04 percentage points. The ÖVP suffered a record loss (-10.98) and came in second with 26.48 percent, ahead of the SPÖ, which stagnated at 21.05. With 8.96 percent, the Neos overtook the Greens, who landed at 8.03 percent.
The small lists all failed to get into the National Council. In Sunday’s results, the Beer Party got 1.99 percent, the KPÖ got 2.35 percent, the Madeleine Petrovic list got 0.57 percent and the “None of them” list got 0.56 percent.
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The results published by the electoral department in the Ministry of the Interior already contain the majority of postal votes – for the first time in a National Council election. This change was decided with the Voting Law Amendment Act 2023. According to the election researchers at the FORESIGHT Institute, around 80 percent of the voting cards issued were probably counted on Sunday. The remaining (postal) voting cards – probably around 15 percent of all issued – will then be evaluated on Monday (the majority) and Thursday. Experience shows that another five percent of the cards are not used.
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These absentee ballots will slightly change the result. Including the APA/ORF/FORESIGHT postal vote forecast (fluctuation range +/- 0.4 percentage points), the FPÖ comes to 28.8 percent. The ÖVP comes to 26.3 percent. The SPÖ is reported at 21.1 percent. With the remaining postal votes, the Neos improved to 9.2 percent, the Greens to 8.3 percent.
OÖN election analysis: “The usual balance of power was undermined”
It was a historic victory for the FPÖ – the Freedom Party clearly won the National Council election ahead of the ÖVP, with the SPÖ in third place. Wolfgang Braun, deputy Editor-in-chief of the OÖN: “This is a huge result that has undermined the balance of power in Austria that we were used to.”
In terms of mandates, this means, according to projections, 56 seats for the FPÖ (2019: 31) in the 183-seat National Council. The ÖVP has 52 seats (71), the SPÖ has 41 MPs (previously 40). In the future, the Neos will hold 18 (2019: 15) seats and the Greens will hold 16 (previously 26).
