At 18:00 (local time) when the polls close, he will co-host with Namibia foreign leaders in New York as part of the United Nations Summit on the Future.
His own (political) future, however, will largely be judged in the state and whether his party, the Social Democratic Party (SPD), will lose first place there for the first time since 1990.
With the elections in Brandenburg, a state bordering on Berlinbut also with Poland, with immigration and the economy at the top of the agenda, this year’s election year is coming to an end which brought clear defeats for the governing coalition parties (SPD, Greens, FDP) and the consolidation of the rise of the extremes.
More than 2 million voters over the age of 16 are called to the polls today to elect the new parliament and to judge the so far coalition government between the SPD, the Christian Democratic Party (CDU) and the Greens under the popular Dietmar Voytke (SPD), who, in in a last-ditch effort to stave off defeat, he declared that if his party finished second, he would resign.
Perhaps the “threat” Voytke found its target. Throughout the pre-election period, the SPD was trailing the Alternative for Germany (AfD) by at least 5-6 points, but in the last week the difference has narrowed to the margin of polling error, creating the conditions for an absolutely open result tonight.
For the third place, the battle is between the CDU and the newly formed “Zara Wagenknecht Alliance” (BSW), while the Greens and the Left are on the razor’s edge for their entry into Parliament. At the same time, it seems unlikely that the Liberals (FDP) will return to these elections in the local parliament after 10 years of exclusion. In Brandenburg, however, the electoral regulation provides that if a party elects even one deputy by direct election, it ensures its entry into Parliament regardless of its overall percentage.
With the poll data so far, the formation of a government in the state will have characteristics of a puzzle. The current governing coalition is subject to the entry of the Greens, but its total percentages will probably not be sufficient, while the CDU has already declared its reluctance to continue. However, Dietmar Wojtke has already stated that he would be willing to negotiate with Zara Wagenknecht as well.
Olaf Solz will be far away when the first results are announced – in the role of an international leader. Back in Germany, however, a possible defeat will probably open mouths that have been holding back for a long time, only in view of today’s elections. Inside the SPD there is dissatisfaction with the chancellor who did not participate in his party’s election campaigns, not even in his home town of Brandenburg.
It is even said that Dietmar Wojtke himself did not want to identify with him during the election campaign and share his depravity. Mr Scholz also avoided taking a public position on the results in Thuringia and Saxony, referring to the party leadership. Tonight at least he won’t even have to be, as on other occasions, in the “Willy Brand House”, SPD headquarters, and try to avoid reporters.
Olaf Solz himself has little to gain from the election today, but he has a lot to lose, as his allies blame this year’s poor results on the bad image of the federal government.
The next state elections are in March 2025 in the “easy” theoretically for the SPD Hamburg, but next year anyway holds the “mother of battles”, the federal elections in the autumn. And no one is promising that it is impossible, after all, to call into question the very “right” of the chancellor to re-lead the SPD campaign for the chancellorship and to prefer a new name, such as that of today’s most popular defense minister Boris Pistorius.
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