The head of the political bureau of Hamas on July 31 in the Iranian capital, Tehran Ismail Haniya Ever since the assassination, the world has been in a dilemma as to when and how Iran will respond.
In an article on al-Arabiya.net, Masoud al-Zahed says that Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei threatened to take revenge for this murder and until now August 19 has come, the world has been confused by not taking any retaliatory action. is
According to Arna Iran The spokesman of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Nasir Kanani, has said on Monday that Iran’s response to the killing of Haniyeh as an official guest and the ceasefire negotiations in Gaza are separate matters.
He said that ‘we were and are the strongest and most important regional and international supporters of ending the war and ceasefire and we will continue to strive in this direction.’
Over the course of more than two weeks, Iranian military and political officials repeatedly Israel has responded strongly to the extent of the statements. A ‘possible Iranian attack’ has raised concerns and pushed the region to all-out war.
Ali Khamenei was clear in his threat. He made it a duty to avenge his blood. Since his statement, Israel has continued its preparations to counter any action.
In this regard, Iranian journalist Kian Sharifi has said in an analytical article for the American Farsi-language radio ‘Farda’ that Iran’s attacks on Israel in the last two weeks have been described as ‘easy’. In the presence of these expectations, anxiety and fear have spread on social media.
Reports from Tehran indicate that there is a general consensus among Iranian political, military and religious institutions on the need for action after Haniyeh’s assassination.
However, Tehran is receiving a large number of messages from both Europe and the Arab world to back off at this time and not attack directly because the world does not want to fight any major war.
According to a report, Iranian President Masoud Pishekian strongly supports revenge. He is in daily contact with the Iranian Supreme Leader and the Supreme National Security Council.
Speaker of the Iranian Parliament Mohammad Baqir Ghalibaf said that US military activities in the Gulf and Red Sea regions and the Mediterranean Sea are being monitored daily.
Raz Zimat, a senior researcher on Iranian affairs at the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv, says he is enjoying the situation. Israel is seen in a state of suspense and in these circumstances Israel is paying a heavy economic and psychological price. However, this expectation is a double-edged sword because it is also harming the Iranian regime and its agents in the region.
Radio Farda quoted Michael Horowitz, head of the security department of Bahrain-based consultancy Lubbock International, as saying that the negative effects of this situation, including pressure on civil defense, mobilization of the armed forces and economic costs, will not be limited to Israel.
Analysts and experts believe that Iran is delaying the attack to take advantage of the psychological consequences and that this is nothing more than a pretext and a deliberate strategy. He believes that the possible Israeli-American counter-reaction and the risks it poses are also being assessed within the Iranian government. This situation explains the delay in the counter-attack and Tehran’s reluctance in this regard.
According to Raz Zemat, the Iranian government faces a difficult and complex choice. Although Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard want to restore Iran’s resistance to Israel. However, some other parts of the government fear that a major attack on Israel could push Iran into war.
So even if Tehran decides to respond to the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, coordination with the Lebanese Hezbollah and other members of its network of regional proxies and allies will be required. Which is called the axis of resistance according to the political literature of Iran and it takes a long time to prepare.
Another factor that could influence Iran’s decision is the US military presence in the region. The US military is stronger than it was in the days before the extraordinary Iranian drone and missile attack on Israel on April 12 of this year.
Tehran has categorically rejected Western powers’ pleas for restraint and de-escalation, repeatedly asserting that it is within its legitimate right to respond to the killing of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.
One analyst believes that the doctrine of strategic patience is one closely associated with Supreme Leader Khamenei. Keeping everyone worried by forcing them to wait gives Iran a partial victory in itself, they think.
However, they also say that the biggest risk in the wait could be a misjudgment by either side that could plunge the region into a full-scale war.
Fawad Shukar’s murder: New details
Last month, on July 30, new details have been revealed about the Israeli air attack on a residential building in the southern suburb of Beirut, the capital of Lebanon. In this operation, the senior leader of Hezbollah, Fouad Shukar, was killed.
According to the American newspaper Wall Street Journal, this assassination operation included hacking into Hezbollah’s internal network and a telephone call that led Fouad to the seventh floor of the building. They lived and worked in the same building.
The American newspaper said that the deceased was an important figure in Hezbollah’s history but led a life that was almost invisible. Fouad’s face was so unknown that after his death, Lebanese media published fake photos of Fouad.
According to the newspaper report, Fawad spent the last day of his life in his office on the second floor of this building in Dahiya. He lived on the seventh floor of the same building to avoid much movement. The building was hit by Israeli air strikes.
Fouad Shukar remained in hiding from the United States for forty years after the explosion in the barracks of the American Marines in Beirut, the Lebanese capital. According to the United States, Fawad assisted in the planning of this operation. 241 American soldiers were killed in the blast.
According to the American newspaper, Fouad was one of the founders of the Lebanese organization Hezbollah. He was a trusted friend of the organization’s Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah for a long time. For the past ten months, Fouad has been leading increasingly violent cross-border clashes with Israel.
According to the report, Hassan Nasrallah said that Fouad Shukar had a conversation with the founder of Hezbollah just a few hours before his death. Hezbollah sources told the American newspaper that Fouad received a phone call from a man who said he would come to the building where Fouad lives.
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Then on July 30 at 7 pm local time, Israel bombed the place. Fouad Shukar, his wife, two women and two children were killed in the attack.
The newspaper quoted Hezbollah sources as saying that Fouad Shukar was requested to go to the seventh floor so that Israel could bomb him easily. The request was probably made by someone who may have infiltrated Hezbollah’s internal communications network.
The newspaper quoted the same sources as saying that Hezbollah and Iran are investigating an intelligence failure regarding the incident. Both believe that Israel used more advanced hacking technology and tools to overcome Hezbollah’s defense systems.
After the attack, the Israeli army announced that it had targeted a Hezbollah leader who was responsible for the attack on the Majdal Shams area in the occupied Golan in Syria.
Fouad Shukar’s name was added to the US sanctions list. Washington had offered a $5 million reward for information about Fawad Shukar alias ‘Al-Haj Mohsin’.
Fouad Shukar was a senior adviser to Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah on military affairs.
According to the United States, Fouad helped President Bashar’s forces and Hezbollah fighters in military operations against opposition forces in Syria.
According to Washington, Fouad was a close friend of slain Hezbollah senior commander Imad Mughniah. He played a central role in the bombing of the US Marine barracks in Beirut on October 23, 1983. 241 US Army personnel were killed and 128 were injured in the operation.
In September 2019, the US State Department officially designated Fawad as a global terrorist. Earlier in July 2015, the US Treasury also took a similar step.
Mahmoud Abbas visits Gaza
On the other hand, the Palestinian news agency “Wafa” has said that the Palestinian leadership has started its movements and contacts around the world to prepare for the departure of President Mahmoud Abbas and members of the Palestinian leadership to the Gaza Strip.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi meets Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas (centre) in New Delhi on May 16, 2017, with Indian President Pranab Mukherjee also present (AFP)
Sources said that the purpose of the visit of President Mahmoud Abbas and members of the Palestinian leadership to the Gaza Strip is to express solidarity with the Palestinian people suffering from genocide.
Mahmoud Abbas’s visit to Gaza is under the jurisdiction of the State of Palestine and the Palestine Liberation Organization and is working for the restoration of national unity and responsibility for the entire territory of the Palestinian state.
The news agency added that ‘in this regard, talks have been held with the United Nations, permanent members of the Security Council, Arab and Muslim countries, OIC, European and African Union. Other important countries and powers of the world are ready to ensure the success of this step and provide support. In this regard, Israel has also been informed.
On the other hand, the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth has quoted an Israeli official as saying that “We will not allow Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas to go to the Gaza Strip.”
Israeli media reports also revealed that Abbas’ visit to Gaza is ‘unlikely to happen in the near future’.
President Abbas announced in his speech to the Turkish Parliament that he will go to the Gaza Strip with all the members of the Palestinian leadership. He called upon the international community to ensure his arrival there.
“We decided to go to Gaza to stop Israel’s plans,” he said.
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2024-08-20 05:36:34
