Until 87.8 million jobs could be affected by AI, and between 2.0% and 5.0% of jobs could be at risk of being fully automated, the two institutions warn.
According to the study, the jobs most affected by generative AI, capable of generating text, images and other media in response to commands, will be formal jobs in urban areas, in the hands of workers with higher education and income: salaried and self-employed workers such as sellers, architects, educators or health workers.
In Guatemala and Peru, 31% of jobs would be affected, 2.27 million and 5.54 million respectively; while in Chile the effects of generative AI could be 37%, equivalent to 3.29 million.
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However, the study also reveals that half of the 17 million jobs in Latin America whose Productivity could improve with AI are hampered by gaps in digital access and infrastructure.
The same report indicates that at least 8% and 14% of jobs could be Improve your productivity without the need for full automation.
AI improves more jobs than it eliminates
The growing inclusion of this technology today does not have to have only negative effects on the workplace.
“It is more likely that Technology increases and transforms jobs rather than fully automating them,” predicts the ILO.
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AI could affect the labor market in countries such as Ecuador by 27% (2.28 million jobs) and 38% in Costa Rica (840 thousand), slightly below the developed country average of 43%.
In absolute figures some of the countries with the most affected jobs due to new technology could be:
- Brazil with 37 million, 37% of the total national workers
- Colombia with 8.24 million, 35%
- Mexico with 20.48 million, also 35%
The study did not compare the data from Argentinasince these came only from their urban centres, so the percentage of jobs affected by generative AI was significantly higher than in the rest of the countries in the region, at 44%.
“When deployed sustainably, digital technologies, including generative AI, can increasing productivity and creating more and better jobs“said the World Bank’s chief economist for Latin America and the Caribbean, William Maloney.
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Invest more to benefit from change
Maloney explained that to take advantage of the opportunities of AI it is important that Latin American countries Invest in connectivity and skillsas well as strengthen protection systems to “ensure that no one is left behind.”
The study concludes with recommendations for the region to fully harness the potential of generative AI, including implementation of learning programs permanent to mitigate job losses and improve productivity.
The ILO and the WB also advise the improvement of the social protection systems to stabilize the transition to this new technology, addressing any gender gaps that may arise, as well as improve digital infrastructure and encourage the adoption of digital technologies.
The ILO Regional Director for Latin America and the Caribbean, Ana Virginia Moreira, concludes that a solid and inclusive social dialogue is needed to effectively manage the impacts of generative AI.
With this, he said, “we can ensure that the transformative power of artificial intelligence is harnessed responsibly, Addressing the needs of all workers while mitigating the risks associated with technological change.”
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