What are the chances of Venezuela being hit by a cyclone?

Climate change has created concern regarding a possible cyclone tropical in VenezuelaBut what is the probability of this? Well, this question was answered by the expert in the field. Luis Vargaswho offered a comprehensive analysis of this situation.

Tropical cyclone in Venezuela? Here’s what we know

In this sense, through his account on the social network X (before Twitter), the climate expert, briefly explained the possibilities of Venezuelans experiencing this type of natural phenomena in any magnitude.

For this reason, in his publication he recounted those historic moments, in which the country had the circumstances of witnessing the arrival of a tropical cyclone.

“Venezuela The probability of being directly hit by a tropical cyclone is very low, just 4.9%. However, we are not exempt from this. Since records began, 7 of these systems have entered the continental area of ​​the country, including the 1892 hurricane that reached the peninsula of Cordoba in category 2. Paraguana on August 10 of that year and the Category 1 hurricane of 1933 that hit the state Sucre June 28. There are sources that point to another in 1887 but I have not found anything official to certify this,” the statement reads.

Venezuela has a very low probability of being directly hit by a tropical cyclone, just 4.9%. However, we are not exempt from this. Since records began, 7 of these systems have entered the continental area of ​​the country, including the 1892 hurricane that… pic.twitter.com/INamaWWq4d

— Luis Vargas (@Meteovargas) July 3, 2024

He also pointed out that all these situations are currently due to the rotation of the planet, which has a positive impact on the national territory, but there may be a possibility of damage.

“Although the Earth’s rotational movement (force of Coriolis) drives tropical cyclones that form in the northwest Atlantic tropical moving them away from our country, the high pressure or the anticyclone of the Bermuda-Azores If it intensifies and drops below its usual latitude, it can force them to move for a longer time towards the west and that is when they can affect us directly,” the man said.