A single thrilling situation – Budapester Zeitung – 2024-05-29 10:53:09

Elections in Budapest

Written by Rainer Ackermann

May Dávid Vitézy probably defeat the incumbent mayor of Budapest, Gergely Karácsony?

In a consultant survey within the second half of Might, the Medián Institute intentionally performed with the concept of ​​what would occur if one of many main candidates have been to withdraw. The idea that the incumbent mayor would drop out of the race for some cause was thought-regarding pure hypothesis.

Hypothesis a couple of duel

In that case, there can be a duel between the previous authorities spokeswoman Alexandra Szentkirályi, whom Fidesz wish to see within the city corridor, and the unbiased transport skilled Dávid Vitézy. The result wouldn’t be thrilling, nevertheless: Vitézy would win 46% of the votes, whereas Szentkirályi would most likely solely get 24%. If Vitézy have been to resign, the Fidesz politician would nonetheless have one of the best likelihood of a good end result, however even in opposition to Karácsony alone she wouldn’t get greater than 30% (whereas a full 50% would vote for the incumbent).

How the incumbent advantages

Though the candidate and the governing celebration vehemently deny it, a resignation of Szentkirályi would create by far essentially the most thrilling situation: Karácsony would then obtain 41% and Vitézy 40%, the Medián Institute believes. Because of this the votes of the mayor’s two major opponents would add up, as every would gather 23% (Szentkirályi) and 21% (Vitézy). Karácsony would definitely profit from having two rivals respiratory down his neck; in a three-way race, he would solely want 38% of the votes.