In the polls, Donald Trump has a slight advantage over incumbent President Joe Biden in the swing states, i.e. those states capable of deciding with their preferences who will be the next president of the United States: Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin , Nevada and North Carolina.
In national polls, however, six months following the vote, Trump has returned to the lead slightly in recent days, following Biden had overtaken him, reversing a trend in favor of the Republican that had lasted several weeks. This last figure, however, has limits: in American elections it is in fact possible for a candidate to win the greatest number of votes at a national level – as Hillary Clinton did in 2016 – but be defeated by the Electoral College.
From now until November 5th, voting day, it is possible to get an idea of the central issues in the electoral campaign and the positioning of the candidates with a series of trends that emerge thanks to the support of FinScience, the fintech company of the Datrix Group which, in in the field of Data Monetization, develops artificial intelligence applications to extract value from data. The data is provided exclusively to Sole 24 Ore for the creation of an online page on Lab24 which with constantly updated numbers and graphs will accompany us until the vote. There are polls, financing and a series of less traditional but more dynamic data, such as the popularity and sentiment of candidates with respect to issues and industrial sectors, the pulse of Wall Street. Finally the key dates, the explanation of how the electoral system works, the profile of the candidates and historical data.
Finscience collects non-standard data to analyze financial markets with artificial intelligence systems. And in view of the elections, Finscience, for Lab24, is constantly monitoring news sources, many local ones, data and surveys, social networks, discussion forums, as explained by Fabrizio Milano D’Aragona, CEO and co-founder of Datrix: «Thanks to this extraction method and interpretation of data, artificial intelligence helps us because otherwise we would not be able to investigate such a quantity of sources while also doing a significant job of classifying the information”.
Alessio Garzonio, Principal of Finscience, commenting on the first results, underlines: «As regards the individual states, we see an attempt by Biden to consolidate in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, seeking a reconfirmation compared to four years ago. At the same time, Trump is focusing on Georgia, trying to conquer it compared to 4 years ago, and Florida, to consolidate. Both campaigns focus on Nevada and Arizona, which have undergone major changes from 4 years ago. Nevada seems to be moving toward Trump.”
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2024-05-11 21:25:43
