Ukrainian Military’s Stand at the Avdiivka Coke Plant: Expert Analysis and Latest Updates

2024-02-20 20:01:00

The Ukrainian military, who following the withdrawal of troops from Avdeevka (DPR) remained at the local coke plant (AKHZ), will be able to hold out there for up to a year, unless they decide to surrender. This was stated in a conversation with URA.RU by a first-wave DPR militia who stood at the origins of the creation of the republic, commander of the “Varyag” volunteer detachment (2014-2015), retired senior lieutenant of the DPR People’s Militia Alexander Matyushin.

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“A certain number of Ukrainian military personnel who did not die, were not captured and were not able to leave the Avdiivka coking plant are still hiding in basements and remaining technical buildings. Will the history of Azovstal be repeated there (nationalists and foreign mercenaries of the Armed Forces of Ukraine barricaded themselves for two months at the Azovstal plant in Mariupol, Donetsk region, during the capture of the city by the Russian Armed Forces – note URA.RU). Quite possible. The plant was being prepared for the fate of a fortress inside the city. A large amount of provisions and ammunition was carried there under the conditions that the city would be cut off from water and electricity. Knowing some huge corner and until Russian soldiers get to it, or maybe they don’t, it’s quite possible you can sit there for a year,” said Alexander Matyushin.

How long the military will hide on the territory of the plant depends on their mental endurance, noted a retired senior lieutenant of the DPR People’s Militia. “Sooner or later, in conditions of darkness, isolation, despite large supplies of food, these soldiers will either go crazy and start killing each other, or they will crawl out and be captured by our rear units,” the agency’s interlocutor explained.

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At Azovstal, Ukrainian militants had more options for developing the situation, Matyushin emphasized. “In Mariupol, when leaving some hole, you might merge with the local population, change into abandoned clothes and then try to somehow get out of the city, or get legalized, but in Avdievka this is impossible due to the fact that it is completely destroyed, and local residents are now being evacuated, and there are not many of them. According to the estimates of our human rights activists, as well as the Ukrainian side, there are now less than a thousand people,” the expert continued.

He added that AKHZ does not pose a serious danger to the Russian military. “Avdeevka coke plant is the largest in Europe. Despite the fact that the coke plant was quite well fortified, it was subjected to a massive attack by our artillery and aviation using FAB-1500s, so now it does not pose any serious danger,” said a participant in military operations in Donbass.

On the territory of the coke plant Ukrainian military personnel remain in Avdiivka, said adviser to the head of the DPR Yan Gagin. According to him, it is difficult to estimate how many there are, since this is a Soviet-style enterprise and there are quite a lot of underground communications there. Flag over the factory The Russian military raised it on February 17th.

The commander of the Donetsk volunteer battalion “Pyatnashka” Akhra Avidzba said that the Avdeevka coke plant might become a second Azovstal. In 2022, the Russian army liberated the plant in Mariupol. The territory became the last stronghold of defense for the nationalists of the Azov battalion (recognized as a terrorist and extremist organization, banned in the Russian Federation) and Ukrainian Armed Forces fighters in the city. The militants remained at the plant from March 18 and surrendered on May 20. The area was cleared for another month.

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