2023-11-23 16:13:27
Alex Newhook scored twice Wednesday night in Anaheim. He scored five points in his last three games to bring his record to 12 points in 19 games. At this rate, this 22-year-old would score 52 points, a career high. If it seems established that he is more effective on the wing, he is quietly cementing his place within the first trio.
Posted at 11:13 a.m.
Drafted 16th in 2019, one place behind Cole Caufield, he is also only three points behind him, with one more goal, without participating in the first wave of numerical superiority.
For some, the Canadian paid dearly to get Newhook by offering first and second round picks and young Gianni Fairbrother. The mention of a first-round pick strikes the imagination, but a 31st pick overall is far from having the value of a pick in the top 10or even a choice in the top 15. The success rate of a 37th overall pick, in the second round, is even slimmer.
Between 25th and 40th, the chances of getting your hands on an established player are slim. According to the data, a National League team would have a 3% chance of finding a star by drafting between 31st and 45th. The rate increases to 30% for a regular NHL player. Let’s take the Canadian’s choices in these waters between 2012 and 2018.
2018
35e : Jesse Ylönen 38e : Alexander Romanov
2017
2015
2014
2013
25e : Michael McCarron
34e : Jacob De La Rose
36e : Zachary Fucale
2012
33e : Sebastian Collberg
Out of nine players, only Romanov belongs to a top 4 defensively or to one of the first three lines. Is this attributable to the Canadian’s failures in the draft? Let’s then expand the sample to all NHL teams with the choices between the 31st and 37th choices inclusive, during five vintages taken at random, between 2014 and 2018 inclusive.
2018
31e : Alexander Alexeyev 32e : Mattias Samuelsson 33e : Jonatan Berggren 34e : Serron Noel 35e : Jesse Ylönen 36e : Jared McIsaac 37e : Jett Woo
2017
31st : Kim Kostin 32nd : Conor Timmins 33rd : Kole Lind 34th : Nicolas Hague 35th : Isaac Ratcliffe 36th : Jesper Boqvist 37th : Marcus Davidsson
2016
31e : Egor Korshkov
32e : Tyler Benson
33e : Rasmus Aplund
34e : Andrew Peeke
35e : Jordan Kyrou
36e : Pascal Laberge
37e : Libor Hajek
2015
31e : Jeremy Roy
32e : Christian Fischer
33e : Mitchell Stephens
34e : Travis Dermott
35e : Sebastian Aho
36e : Gabriel Gagne
37e : Brandon Carlo
2014
31e : Brendan Lemieux
32e : Jayce Hawryluk
33e : Ivan Barbashev
34e : Mason McDonald
35e : Dominik Masin
36e : Thatcher Demko
37e : Alex Nedeljkovic
The first instinct will be to mention Sebastian Aho, a steal at 35th in 2015, the number one center for the Carolina Hurricanes for several seasons already. We also find the number one goaltender of the Vancouver Canucks, Thatcher Demko, one of the best forwards of the St. Louis Blues, Jordan Kyrou, 37 goals and 73 points last year, Ivan Barbashev, smoking in the playoffs with the Golden Vegas Knights, Brandon Carlo, the Boston Bruins’ fourth defenseman in many seasons, and Mattias Samuelsson and Nicolas Hague, defenders similar to Carlo.
Let’s look at the odds now. That’s seven top players out of 35 picks, a win rate of just 20%, but with only three stars, for a rate of just 9%.
Furthermore, 19 of these picks played less than 100 games in the National Hockey League. Your chances of drafting a marginal or American League player are therefore around 54%. Twenty-eight of these 35 picks do not belong to one of the first three trios, to one top 4 defensively or as a first goaltender in the NHL.
Do the math. We offer you a young 21-year-old striker drafted in the top 16 four years earlier. This boy has been in the National League for two years, but has failed to live up to the expectations of a powerhouse, the Colorado Avalanche. He nevertheless had two seasons of 30 points or more before reaching 22 years old.
You have two draw tickets. Both give you a 20% chance of getting your hands on a player from one of the top three lines or a top defensive quartet, but only a 9% chance of finding a star. We offer you Alex Newhook in return for these two tickets. Are you doing the transaction?
Makar wins the first round
PHOTO RON CHENOY, USA TODAY SPORTS VIA REUTERS CON
Kale Makar
Cale Makar was not going to let Quinn Hughes escape so easily with the defense scoring title. Makar had two points on Wednesday in 24:36 of use, one point more than Quinn Hughes, employed more than 27 minutes by Rick Tocchet, and the Avalanche defeated the Canucks 5-2.
Two of the top three scorers in the NHL are now defensemen, Hughes with 31 points in 20 games and Makar with 29 points, but in 18 games. The only intruder top 3Hughes’ teammate JT Miller with 30 points.
We are also talking regarding two defenders 6 feet or less, drafted fourth in 2017 in the case of Makar and seventh in 2018 for Hughes because the first to choose perhaps did not dare to take a small defender. size.
By the way, Jonathan Drouin obtained two points in this match, in a little over 13 minutes of play. He now has 5 points in 16 games.
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