2023-11-18 22:18:10
Córdoba appears, once once more, as a decisive stage in a runoff. Of course, making a direct comparison with that election that placed Mauricio Macri in the Casa Rosada is not the most convenient. It happens that in 2015, Javier Milei’s current partner achieved a resounding victory in this district and lost by a slim margin to Daniel Scioli in the Province of Buenos Aires.
Today, that scenario between Sergio Massa and the leader of La Libertad Avanza would not be repeated in the conglomerate that concentrates 33% of the voters in the entire country. In any case, both Massa and Milei know the importance of Córdoba when it comes to voting and the numbers are consistent: this province, which represents 8.66% of the national electorate, is the district in which the most “loose votes” were left. “, that is, those who chose alternatives that do not compete in the runoff.
In total, there are 1.2 million people from Córdoba who opted for Juan Schiaretti, Patricia Bullrich or Myriam Bregman in the first round and capturing part of those “ownerless” votes will be decisive in the final result. These votes represented 53% of the total positive votes in the October general elections in Córdoba.
In that sense, the two candidates did not hesitate to focus on Córdoba. In fact, Milei closed his campaign in this province last Thursday, in an event that brought together between 15,000 and 20,000 people according to the Córdoba Police and which was attended on stage by Bullrich, who asked for the vote for Milei. .
The local leaders of La Libertad Avanza did not hide their surprise when they found out that Milei would close his campaign in Córdoba. With a wide advantage according to all the polls in this province, where LLA already won in the PASO and in the first round (in both, Cordoban Peronism placed second), the focus for the libertarians is to reduce -substantially- the difference in Buenos Aires. For this reason, focusing on that district, particularly in the deep suburbs, and reinforcing oversight along with the leaders that Macri can provide are the issues that most concern some of the LLA leaders in Cordoba.
Unlike what happens in Buenos Aires, from the libertarian bunker in Córdoba they were responsible for highlighting that here “there will be no control problems.” “We have prosecutors at all the tables, there are PRO leaders who are going to give us a hand and we do not believe anything strange will happen,” said an LLA leader.
On the contrary, the situation is very different in Buenos Aires. As reported during the week, LLA might guarantee “quality inspection” in 30% of the tables in the Province of Buenos Aires. The lack of coordination with the prosecutors provided by the structure that landed with Macri in the libertarian force had moments of maximum tension last week, although both parties were responsible for lowering the tone of the discussions.
Massa did his thing. The Unión por la Patria candidate also bet heavily on Córdoba. From the moment he entered the runoff, he launched a strategy that sought to deepen the link with the Peronism of Córdoba.
In the middle, he encountered the fierce opposition of Juan Schiaretti, who criticized him every time he might, including last Friday, at an event that took place in San José de la Dormida when the electoral ban was already in effect.
However, from the massist bunker they are more than satisfied with the support they obtained from a good part of the Peronist mayors, from a significant percentage of communal leaders of radicalism and most importantly: the presidency of Martín Llaryora. “It’s what Sergio always looked for. Let Martín support him,” confided a leader who supported Massa’s candidacy from the first hour.
And he adds: “That he supports him means having done what he did. Stay away from the fierce criticism of pure Schiarettism. I don’t know if Schiaretti and Llaryora played in tandem, but it was very notable how Peronism almost in its entirety left Schiaretti and his inner circle attacking Massa alone. The rest, quietly, confirmed loyalty.”
The minister-candidate took part of the speech that Schiaretti developed throughout his campaign and with that he believes that he will be able to capture part of the vote that the governor achieved in his excursion as a presidential candidate.
Trying to surpass by a few points the percentage of “Coca in the Fernet formula” is Massa’s objective for Córdoba. And consolidate, of course, the difference that he made in Buenos Aires. To do this, some issues will be key, such as the percentage of blank votes and participation in the general elections. Will there be a record of absenteeism for the long weekend?
The cards are played. Córdoba once once more gains centrality as in the 2015 runoff, although the scenario shows differences compared to that election. In any case, La Docta will be, once once more, a key district in the election of the president who will govern the country until 2027.
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