2023-10-22 10:52:00
ESPN Sports BettingOct 22, 2023, 06:52 AM ET6 Minute Read
Kirk Cousins is 2-10 in his career on Monday Night Football. The Minnesota Vikings will host the San Francisco 49ers for Week 7’s final game.Stephen Maturen/Getty Images
Week 7 of the NFL season kicked off Thursday with the one-point underdog Jacksonville Jaguars earning a 31-24 road win once morest the New Orleans Saints. There will be 11 games on Sunday as six teams are on bye. Sunday’s prime time game showcases a pair of 5-1 teams in the Miami Dolphins and Philadelphia Eagles in a game which opened with the highest total on the slate (52). On Monday Night Football, the Minnesota Vikings host the San Francisco 49ers to close out the week. Check back here daily for updated lines and additional betting information from ESPN Stats & Information.
Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Football Power Index (FPI) by ESPN Sports Analytics Group.
Las Vegas Raiders -2.5 @ Chicago Bears
Soldier Field, Chicago
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Las Vegas Raiders (-140) ; Chicago Bears (+118)
Total: 37.5; Opened: NL
FPI favorite: Bears by 4.3 (62.4% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Raiders are three-point favorites at the Bears on Sunday but have the worst cover percentage in the NFL as a road favorite since 2000 (.324, 12-25-2).
The Bears are 5-1 with overs this season, the best of any team. While the Raiders are 5-1 with unders, tied for the second-best in the NFL.
The Bears have lost 10 straight home games, the longest active home losing streak. They are 2-7-1 ATS in those contests.
Cleveland Browns -3.5 @ Indianapolis Colts
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Cleveland Browns (-190) ; Indianapolis Colts (+158)
Total: 41; Opened: 39
FPI favorite: Browns by 3.5 (60% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened Browns -1
Betting Nuggets
The Browns are favored in a road game for the 2nd time this season, matching their total from each of the last two seasons.
This is the first time the Browns are favored in consecutive road games since December 2020 when they faced the Giants and Jets at MetLife in back-to-back weeks.
Buffalo Bills -7.5 @ New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Buffalo Bills (-400) ; New England Patriots (+310)
Total: 40; Opened: 40
FPI favorite: Bills by 12.7 (82.4% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Buffalo is favored by 8.5 points in New England. The last time the Bills were favored by this much at New England was 1993, the last season of their 4-year run of making the Super Bowl. The only 3 times they were favored by this much in New England were 1991 (-8.5, lost by 3), 1992 (-16, won by 34) and 1993 (-10, won by 3 in OT).
The Bills are favored for the 25th consecutive regular-season game, the longest active streak in the NFL.
New England has also failed to cover in nine straight games as an underdog, tied for the second longest ATS losing streak as an underdog in the Super Bowl Era.
The Patriots have failed to cover in nine of their last 10 games.
Washington Commanders -3 @ New York Giants
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Washington Commanders (-160) ; New York Giants (+135)
Total: 37.5; Opened: NL
FPI favorite: Commanders by 4 (61.6% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Commanders are favorites when facing the Giants in East Rutherford for the fifth time since 2017.
In each of the last six matchups between the Commanders and Giants in New York (New Jersey), the under has hit.
Seventeen of the last 20 meetings between these two teams in East Rutherford have gone under the total.
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Atlanta Falcons (+122) ; Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-145)
Total: 37; Opened: 36.5
FPI favorite: Buccaneers by 0.9 (52.7% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Falcons have failed to cover in five straight games, their longest streak since 2019.
The Buccaneers are favored for only the second time this season. The other instance was once morest the Bears in Week 2 when they were favored by 2.5 points. They won the game 27-17.
Detroit Lions @ Baltimore Ravens -3
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
Sunday 1:00 PM ET
Money Line: Detroit Lions (+135) ; Baltimore Ravens (-160)
Total: 43; Opened: 41
FPI favorite: Ravens by 1.4 (54.1% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Lions are 5-1 ATS this season, tied with the Dolphins for the best record in the NFL. The Lions have covered in 28 games since Dan Campbell took over in 2021, the most of any team during that span.
The Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
The Ravens have gone under in 5 of their 6 games this season. Since the start of the 2022 season, the Ravens have gone under in 17 games, tied with the Saints and Titans for the most instances in the NFL.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Los Angeles Rams -3
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
Sunday 4:05 PM ET
Money Line: Pittsburgh Steelers (+148) ; Los Angeles Rams (-175)
Total: 43.5; Opened: 42.5
FPI favorite: Rams by 2.9 (58.5% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks -8
Lumen Field, Seattle
Sunday 4:05 PM ET
Money Line: Arizona Cardinals (+300) ; Seattle Seahawks (-385)
Total: 44.5; Opened: 44.5
FPI favorite: Seahawks by 11.3 (79.7% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Seahawks have been favored by eight or more points in division games 20 times under Pete Carroll (since 2010), third-most by any team during that span.
The Cardinals are an underdog for the 15th straight game, the longest active streak in the NFL.
Green Bay Packers -1 @ Denver Broncos
Empower Field at Mile High, Denver
Sunday 4:25 PM ET
Money Line: Green Bay Packers (-120) ; Denver Broncos (+100)
Total: 45; Opened: 44.5
FPI favorite: Packers by 2.4 (56.9% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Packers are favored for the first time this season. They are one of five teams to not be favored in a game in 2023, along with the Colts, Cardinals, Jets and Panthers.
If the line flips, the Packers would be an underdog in 6 consecutive games for the first time since 2006.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs -5.5
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Sunday 4:25 PM ET
Money Line: Los Angeles Chargers (+210) ; Kansas City Chiefs (-260)
Total: 47.5; Opened: 47.5
FPI favorite: Chiefs by 6.6 (68.7% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
This will be the 54th time Patrick Mahomes is the starting quarterback in a game where the Chiefs are favored by 5-plus points, the most such games by any starting QB since Mahomes’ first full season in 2018.
Mahomes has been favored in 98% of his home starts (52 of 53 games) including Sunday once morest the Chargers, the second-highest rate by a quarterback in the Super Bowl Era (min. 10 home starts).
Miami Dolphins @ Philadelphia Eagles -3
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
Sunday 8:20 PM ET
Money Line: Miami Dolphins (+126) ; Philadelphia Eagles (-150)
Total: 51.5; Opened: 51.5
FPI favorite: Dolphins by 3 (58.7% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Dolphins are 5-1 once morest the spread, tied with the Lions for the best record in the NFL.
This will be the seventh straight Dolphins game where the over-under is at least 45 points, the longest active streak in the NFL.
This would be the 12th consecutive home game the Eagles have been favored, the longest active streak in the NFC.
San Francisco 49ers -6.5 @ Minnesota Vikings
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis
Monday 8:15 PM ET
Money Line: San Francisco 49ers (-305) ; Minnesota Vikings (+240)
Total: 44; Opened: 44
FPI favorite: 49ers by 7.1 (69.9% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Brock Purdy has been favored in all 11 of his regular-season starts, joining Ken Stabler and Roger Staubach as the only quarterbacks in the Super Bowl era to be favored in each of their first 11 career starts (regular season).
The 49ers have been road favorites of seven or more points eight times under Kyle Shanahan. While they are 7-1 straight up in those games, they are 2-5-1 ATS.
The Vikings haven’t been a home underdog of seven or more points since 2014.
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