2023-09-25 17:23:00
A survey measured the voting intention of Buenos Aires residents ahead of the general elections that will take place in October. The results showed that the candidate of Unión por la Patria (UxP), Sergio Massa is positioned as the favorite with almost five points above the libertarian Javier Milei. In third place is the candidate from Together for Change (JxC), Patricia Bullrich.
The survey was carried out by Projection Consultants. 2,154 citizens over 16 years of age and residents of the Province of Buenos Aires were surveyed digitally in the period between September 5 and 10. The margin of error is +/- 2.16%.
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Under the premise “If the general elections for president were tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you choose?“, the voting intention was analyzed among the five candidates who will run in the October elections. The study determined that First place would be for the Massa-Rossi duo, who would obtain 31.9%.
They would position themselves behind the Minister of Economy Milei and Villaruel, with 26.7%. In a close third place was the formula Bullrich-Petri, who would get 23.6% of the votes.
Fourth place went to the Left Front (FIT) ticket, made up of Bregman-Del Caño (1.9%)while the last place went to the Hacemos País formula, Schiaretti-Randazzo (1.6%). For their part, 11.4% indicated that they did not know who to vote for and 2.8% said they would do so blank.
Milei leads a national survey with Massa one point behind and Bullrich third
The trend is maintained when analyzing the complete ballot scenario. However, the only one who would be able to gain votes would be Massa, who would go on to obtain 32.8%. On the contrary, the rest of the candidates would decrease the results: mercy with 25.8%; Bullrich22,9%; Bregman1,8%, y Schiaretti, 1.3%. In this case, 12.4% did not know how to answer and 3.1% would vote blank.
The analysis of the gubernatorial elections
The survey also considered the scenario of the provincial Executive. Under the premise “If the general elections for governor of the Province of Buenos Aires were tomorrow, which of the following formulas would you choose?“, the analysis determined that Axel Kicillof would achieve re-election with 38% of the votes.
The JxC candidate would follow, Nestor Grindetti, which registered 22.9%. In third place would be Carolina Píparo for La Libertad Avanza (LLA) with 21% and, finally, Ruben “El Pollo” Sobrero of the FIT with 1.6%. The blank vote would amount to 3.8%, while 12.6% still do not know who they would choose.
Regarding the electoral ceilings, the current governor accumulated 42.6%, between 33.8% who would surely vote for him and 8.8% who are likely to do so. On the contrary, 43.% indicated that they would never vote for him and 13.5% do not believe they will choose him.
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It follows Píbaro, with a ceiling of 32.8%. 18.1% said they were sure of voting for the libertarian candidate, to which is added a probable vote of 14.7%. For their part, 39.3% would never vote for it and 27.9% do not believe they will.
In a close third place is Grindetti, with a ceiling of 30.6%. The opposition candidate accumulated 15.3% in both sure and probable votes. 32.7% would never vote for him and 36.7% do not believe they will.
The image of the main candidates
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Another point analyzed was the image of the national and provincial candidates of the three main political forces. In that sense, all showed a negative balance. However, the one who positioned himself best was Kicillof. When asked regarding their opinion of him, he obtained a positive image of 41.7% once morest a negative image of 55.6%.
In a close second place is Bullrich, with a positive image of 41.2% and a negative image of 55.3%. The difference with respect to mercy is little: the libertarian obtained a positive image of 41% and a negative one of 55%.
Fourth place went to Massawhich accumulated a positive image of 33.7% compared to a negative image of 60.2%. Píbaro was located behind him: his positive image was 29.7% and his negative image was 49.1%. Finally, the one who got the worst image was Grindetti: 29.5% positive versus 38.5% negative.
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