2023-09-21 08:30:00
As It is regarding winning and breaking the three-thirds tie, each candidate simulates strategies in the middle of the cycle between the result of the PASO and the electoral event to come. Strictly speaking, the trio improvises more than plans 5 weeks before the election with varying fortunes. And, unless a substantial shift is noted in the week leading up to October 22, None of the candidates seems to distance themselves sufficiently to win in the first round with the entelechy of 45% of the votes.
On the other hand, perhaps one that is ten points away from the second, the other alternative offered by the Constitution of ’94, can come closer to a definition. Almost a tombola imagined by Peronists and consented to by the radicals to justify the re-election of Carlos Menem, with questionable validity. in these times, whether due to death or old age of the protagonists. Or due to partisan decline. That basic papyrus has turned yellow, its electoral architecture has prematurely charred.
Milei, Massa or Bullrich, all three flow into the same ocean: devaluation
For the new contingency, each applicant comes from a different railway station: Patricia Bullrich had such a pyrrhic victory over Horacio Rodríguez Larreta that it was tarnished when she was outnumbered by Javier Milei.
While the Mayor defeated in the intern went secretly with his wifein the childish manner of not sitting together on the plane or in the immigration line to avoid criticism, and staying in New York for a few days without specific tasks, aspiring to be a Buenos Aires senator in 2025the victorious handed over political centrality as if she had been defeated and without much luck: he gave his economic salvation to Carlos Melconianthe intellectual to the culterano Santiago Kovadloff and appointed a chorus of advisors of dubious effectiveness. They didn’t add anything.
On the contrary, they made him angry with those who were brutally evicted, like Luciano Laspina. The tours in the Patomobile are not very happy either, although his personal bonhomie achieves support in dealing with people. It is obvious that his deployment is more sympathetic to the age community of veterans, operating in that market.
Patricia prioritized the war once morest Christianity when this sector is already a minority. New error: the rival is another. He managed to benefit from the victories in the Santa Fe and Chaco elections, although it is unknown if this transfer of votes goes to his campaign. He does, of course, abound in media support for his political pretensions, but this propaganda incurs argumentative clumsiness: he is scandalized because Milei has dinner with Luis Barrionuevo but she registered as a deputy the brother-in-law of the gastronomic, sheikh of the guild in the Capital and generous taxpayer, Dante Camano.
Her parents don’t help her either. radical partnerswho They proceeded the same as Milei in Deputies with the topic of Profits voting in favor of the official initiative and once morest what it inspired. As if Patricia mightn’t order her troops or direct them. It happens that Mauricio Macri already warned: “I am not once morest the UCR,” he said, “I am once morest those who make money and do business with universities.” These contradictions haunt the candidate when her biggest concern—according to her advisors—is prevent his presidential test balloon from losing air and enter the second round. So, they think, there will be another world.
The “devil” once morest the “evil one”
Although he fears some setback, he still Milei insists on a certain stubbornness of behavior that aligns him with young people. Even in the incorrect flying kicks that characterize him. He can say, for example and without embarrassment, that he supports Sergio Massa in his Profits project because his dog Milton whispered it to him, in homage to the economist Friedman, who precisely fought to support any purpose that reduced or eliminated taxes. But he is somewhat distant from his dogs, campaign and romance have diminished his canine attention.
He persists in his closed circle and forms a team of co-workers who, in the case of government, will be his cabinet. Just as Raúl Alfonsín formed a government team with “friends” —“And who do you want me to arm him with, with the enemies?”, he pointed out to a journalist—like German López, Bernardo Grinspun, Roque Carranza and Raúl Borras, the economist advances with a team contributed by Eduardo Eurnekian who, in reality, are former colleagues during the years he served the Airport businessman.
Namely: Nicolás Posse (Chief of Staff), Guillermo Ferraro (Infrastructure), Guillermo Francos (Interior) and others who have collaborated such as the lawyer Mariano Cuneo Libarona (Justice) and another in charge of preparing a reform of the State similar to the one formulated by Roberto Dromi in Menem’s time. They say that a group analyzes certain issues in a week, that he himself digests them and discusses them on his own behalf, while avoiding saying how he will govern because it deprofiles him as a candidate.
Part of the additive show of advisors who, in truth, think like the businessman Eduardo Constantine, who said that he likes Milei’s ideas but that he prefers him as a calmer and more dialogue-oriented man. Everyone aspires for Milei to look like them, forgetting that he reached the top—at least to be a betting favorite exceeding 70%, almost more accurate than the polls—precisely for being who he is.
There is one left Massa polyactivo that, following a year in government, discovered that he had to do Christianity (vulgarly, silver plan) just when the doctor rushes to the polls and to justice. Also when her son, now called Maximiliano instead of Maximumis downplayed by decreasing its power, particularly in the province of Buenos Aires, where Axel Kicillof threatens to expropriate all the boxes following the elections. Starting with the game that Martín Insaurralde manages, whose benefits everyone envies.
Also late warned Massa that in a year of management he did not incorporate valuable collaborators to go through critical situations, that He trusted too much in his own abilities and that personalism did not lead him to stabilize the economy. And that inflation, the dollar, the drop in activity and other hardships in the sector condemn him, always according to experts, to come second in a possible runoff if he were to participate. Even if he wins on October 22nd. The thing is that much more than half of the country does not recognize him in the car that he shares with Cristina, Alberto Fernández and La Cámpora that I despise more than once.
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