2023-09-07 04:08:07
Alberto Fernández greets before entering the Itamaraty Palace in Brasilia
(From New Delhi, special envoy) Alberto Fernández and a small delegation made up of highly trusted officials left Ezeiza this morning for the G20 Summit in New Delhi, which will have a direct response in the absence of Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping to Joseph Biden’s geopolitical decision to support Ukraine in the war once morest Russia and strengthen India as a regional ally in the face of China’s ambitious geopolitical agenda.
After making a technical stopover in Africa, the President will land at the Indira Ghandi International Airport, which has already been transformed into a military fortress and a sticky example of a cult of personality: dozens of soldiers with machine guns have been deployed at all exits. to protect the delegations that arrive at the G20, while the image of Narendra Modi -the Indian prime minister- is reproduced almost endlessly on all the billboards of the gigantic air terminal.
Alberto Fernández will arrive on Friday followingnoon (local time) and will be accompanied by Foreign Minister Santiago Cafiero, spokesperson Gabriela Cerruti, the Argentine ambassador to the United States and G20 Sherpa, Jorge Argüello, and the Secretary General of the Presidency, Julio Vitobello .
Modi will not have an easy task during the G20 deliberations. The systematic diplomatic tension between Washington and the Beijing-Moscow tandem was further aggravated by Xi’s decision to endorse the inclusion of Argentina, Iran and Saudi Arabia in the BRICS. The communist leader tries with this multilateral movement to reduce the weight of the White House in Latin America and the world oil market, and in turn balance the economic and financial influence of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank (WB) through of the New Development Bank (NDB) which fulfills direct orders from China.
The wave of success led by Alberto Fernández and well-known figures of the ruling party following learning that Argentina had been invited to the BRICS, distracted the gaze from a probable succession of geopolitical effects that will affect the country’s diplomatic relations with the United States, Europe and the Middle East.
However, the President plans to defend Argentina’s invitation to the BRICS during his participation in the G20 summit that will meet this Saturday and Sunday in New Delhi. China and Russia are at odds with the United States and Europe, while Iran ignores the state of Israel and was the ideologue and financier of the Hezbollah cells that attacked the Israeli embassy in Buenos Aires and the AMIA.
Argentina needs the United States and Europe to pay the IMF and improve its economic situation, and the fundamentalist regime in Tehran refuses to bring before the federal courts those accused of having murdered 86 people at the headquarters of the Jewish mutual.
China has a geopolitical agenda aimed at contesting the global influence of the United States, and the expansion of the BRICS works as a masterpiece of that ambitious project mounted to transform Beijing into the Hegemon of the 21st century.
Xi assumes that Russia, Iran and Saudi Arabia have enough capacity to control the flow and prices of oil, while Brazil and Argentina are key countries in Latin America and provide millions of tons of food around the planet.
The White House presents China as its main global adversary, confronts Russia over its illegal war once morest Ukraine and considers Iran a nuclear danger in the Middle East. In this context, Washington props up India once morest Beijing, supports Volodimir Zelensky’s war effort and will act directly once morest Brazil and Argentina.
Lula da Silva has just started his third term and the Brazilian economy does not depend on the IMF or other multilateral organizations that Biden can control from the Oval Office. On the other hand, Alberto Fernández leaves the Casa Rosada in three months and the Palacio de Hacienda breathes if the IMF board grants the scheduled disbursements or the CAF and the Central Bank of China choose to support Sergio Massa in the face of a possible crisis of the markets that can transform the country into a coven.
A banner of Prime Minister Narendra Modi erected in the vicinity of Indira Gandhi International Airport
In addition to defending Argentina’s entry into the multilateral forum, the head of state considers praising the political attitude of Xi Jinping who supported the government when he announced in the official media that he was evaluating being a partner of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). ). If Alberto Fernández finally complies with this geopolitical recognition of Xi, the President will be an unexpected supporting actor in the diplomatic and military dispute between China and India.
Beijing and New Delhi have been facing each other since 2020 over the limits of both countries along the Himalayas (3,500 kilometers of border), and a few days ago China released an “official map” with a portion of territory that India considers its own. This conflict, which has already caused deaths and injuries, plus Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s decision to exhibit his regional alignment with the White House, determined that Xi decided to skip the G20 summit.
It is the first time that the communist leader has declined to participate in a G20 meeting and this tactical step demonstrates the state of the diplomatic relationship with India and the United States. Xi assumes that Modi used the New Delhi summit to strengthen his regional leadership and prop up his electoral campaign towards a third consecutive term, and in this context the Chinese president chose to shake up the Indian prime minister’s political agenda.
Along with the presidential thanks to Xi, Alberto Fernández will insist on New Delhi with his criticism of the international financial system. The president questions the role of the Fund and the surcharges it charges to emerging countries that took credits above their shareholdings. The final communiqués of the summits in Rome and Bali included his critical position, but the IMF board shelved the matter following a formal and scripted discussion.
In any case, the head of state opened a groove in the multilateral agenda that might be deepened as a response by the G7 to the global offensive by China and its possible allies in the BRICS. Beijing is advancing because the IMF does not understand the economic and financial needs of poor and middle-income countries, and in the face of a lack of resources those nations opt for the yuan instead of the Fund’s disbursements and its controversial technical targets.
Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping toast at a reception in the Kremlin
Joseph Biden took note of the matter and promotes a change in financial architecture that would be supported by certain reforms to the statutes of the IMF and the World Bank. The President of the United States does not want China to further strengthen its areas of influence -Latin America, for example-, and in view of this fact he encourages multilateral forums -G20 and G7- to propose new objectives to hold funerals for the two dinosaurs that started walking in Bretton Woods.
India’s G20 summit has a leitmotif with three key concepts: “One land, one family, one future”. From this perspective, the Head of State prepared a discursive line that will include -in addition to the multilateral agenda and the reform of the financial system- his position regarding climate change, the illegal war unleashed by Russia and its global consequences related to food security and energetic.
Before Biden and Lula came to power, the G20 summits –Hamburg and Rome- had to confront the positions once morest the green agenda exhibited by Donald Trump and Jair Bolsonaro. Angela Merkel and Macron squandered hours of their political agendas to prevent the G20 from collapsing because the presidents of the United States and Brazil considered Climate Change a romantic cliché of the G7.
That darkened time has already happened, and the final communiqué from New Delhi will find all member countries warning regarding the political, economic and social consequences of Climate Change. That is to say: there will be explicit support for the Paris agreement and its defense of the sustainability of the land.
The final document of the G20 will be known at the middle of the session on Sunday, September 10. The Sherpas of the member states have worked for months and it only remains to unleash a complex geopolitical issue involving the main powers. It is regarding the illegal war that Putin unleashed once morest Zelensky.
During the finance ministers’ summit in early 2023, a final document was discussed pointing to “the immense human suffering” caused by the conflict in Ukraine and arguing that the Kremlin-sponsored invasion had exacerbated “existing fragilities in the global economy.” .
China and Russia blocked these concepts promoted from the G7 and there was no longer a consensus to reach a final document. Now, this situation can be repeated at the summit of heads of state: Biden, Macron and Scholz demand a global condemnation of Russia, while Xi – Putin’s conditional ally – proposes the opposite.
The president will appear in an equidistant position. He will condemn the Russian invasion, but will make a political statement demanding that the United States and Europe stop supplying kyiv with weapons, logistics, funds and intelligence.
Alberto Fernández at the G20 leaders’ summit in Bali (Indonesia)
It will be the last time that Alberto Fernández participates in a G20. The next summit will be in Brazil, and by then there will be another head of state in the Casa Rosada.
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