2023-08-28 15:12:50
Did Ukrainian forces break through the main Russian defenses?
The Ukrainian armed forces are preparing to claim the next success in the area following Robotyne. Russia, on the other hand, has to shuffle large numbers of troops to withstand Kiev’s pressure.
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Russia needs to move troops from Robotyne to the Dnieper and from Klishchyvka to Robotyne to prevent the opposition at the front from breaking through. The Kremlin has reportedly activated its last good reserve units. After Robotyne, Kiev wants to capture Novoprokopivka and has advanced 4 kilometers east of the village. A minefield might be circumvented because the mines heat up in the summer weather and are visible with night vision goggles. The Russians’ main line of defense has been reached, but not breached. A US think tank attests Kiev “substantial progress”.
In Ukraine it is currently easy to see how events on the various front sections are connected. It starts in the far west on the Dnieper, where Ukrainian special forces have set up two bridgeheads on the left, east bank.
#Ukraine: A Ukrainian CAESAR 155mm self-propelled howitzer was destroyed by a Russian Lancet loitering munition near Veselyi Hai, #Donetsk Oblast.
This is the second CAESAR confirmed destroyed out of 30 delivered since May of 2022. pic.twitter.com/W8lXy37MSq
— ???????? Ukraine Weapons Tracker (@UAWeapons) August 26, 2023
The Russian army was able to evacuate one of them – the one near Kozachi Laheri – but it suffered heavy casualties because the opposing side fired artillery and drones at the troops that had been carted in for this purpose.
These forces were withdrawn from Zaporizhia Oblast to Kherson. And in Zaporizhia they were missing when the Ukrainian forces managed to take Robotyne and advanced further. Various Western weapons were also used during the conquest.
It is obvious that there were also material losses in the heavy fighting for Robotyne: the equipment from the west is not indestructible. But at least it has the advantage that the crews usually survive the confrontations thanks to the better armor.
After liberating Robotyne, Kiev forces close in on the main Russian defense line. They not only move south to the next settlement called Nowoprokopivka, but also west to Kopani and east to Werbowe to avoid being attacked from the flanks. In the direction of Werbove, the Russians’ main line of defense was reached first.
There are trenches (red triangles) exactly between Robotyne and Novoprokopivka. The Ukrainian army advanced east of it. The lower lying area is tactically only a disadvantage if the other side notices the detour in time. Kiev’s forces were able to pass through the minefield (red circles) faster than the Russians would have liked.
Bild:
YouTube/Reporting from Ukraine
Because Russians have dug trenches on the direct route between Robotyne and Novoprokopivka to the south, Kiev’s army has repeated a trick that worked when they took Robotyne: bypassing these trenches to the east in low-lying areas, with the opposition pointing to it must have assumed that the minefields there would stop them.
Mine clearance in night vision goggles: The small dots are all mines that the summer has heated up and made visible.
Bild:
YouTube/Reporting from Ukraine
However, because temperatures of over 30 degrees continue to be reached in Ukraine, Ukrainian pioneers can see these mines: the metal heats up more in the weather than the surrounding area. With night vision goggles, the booby traps are clearly visible, explains Reporting from Ukraine.
Because the Ukrainians were able to quickly cut their way through the minefield, they advanced four kilometers east of Robotyne and Novoprokopivka, attacking the eastern part of the latter settlement and reaching the main line of defense here as well. If she breaks into these, she can attack the trench not only from the front, but also from the side and from behind.
Behind Novoprokopivka, Ukraine might soon break through the main Russian line of defense (red triangles).
Bild:
YouTube/Reporting from Ukraine
About 75 kilometers northeast of this scene is Urozhaine, which was liberated on August 16th. Since then, the Ukrainian troops have widened the front – once more, the reason is that the flanks should be secured. Here the next targets should be the remaining Russian positions in the west in Pryjutne and in the east in Novodonetske.
In the Urozhaine front section, Russian positions in the east at Pryjutne and in the west at Novodonetske are likely to fall before Staromlynivka on the Mokri Yaly river is attacked.
Bild:
YouTube/Military Lab
Subsequently, Ukrainian forces might attack the Staromlynivka supply center in a pincer movement. Their advantage is that they are noisy Military Lab have artillery sovereignty in this sector of the front. Apparently Kiev’s tactic of systematically destroying Russian artillery, depots and supply routes is paying off here.
Outside of Staromlynivka, Ukrainian forces from the 37th Marine Brigade hit a Russian position with a drone-spotted DPICM cluster munition salvo, causing an ammunition cache to cook off. pic.twitter.com/VxaX8jaIe3
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) August 27, 2023
If you follow the front further to the north-east, you will hardly see any changes in the course of Wuhledar and Donetsk. There has been ongoing fighting in these areas since 2014, which explains why things are so static here. But this does not apply to the region of Bachmut – and in particular the villages in the south of the city.
There, too, the current situation is influencing the fighting: because there were no troops at Robotyne, the WDW airborne troops have been withdrawn from Klishchyvka and relocated there. In the battle for Klishchiyvka, Moscow therefore had to bring in soldiers once more.
“Russia is deploying some of its last good reserve units,” analyzed «Forbes» whether the various shifts. However, the Russian soldiers remain mostly on the defensive almost everywhere.
It also pops behind the front
Of course, both warring parties continue to try to hit their opponent in the rear – with mixed success. The Ukrainian Air Force is regarding according to their own statements managed to intercept four Russian cruise missiles on the night of August 27.
The other side is also shooting sharply – and hits targets 20 kilometers from the front in Tokmak (see above), in the port city of Berdyansk on the Azov Sea…
A heavy fire is reported on the territory of the workshop of one of the enterprises in occupied #Berdiansk. According to local residents, Russians were taking equipment there.
The governor of Zaporizhzhia Region, Rogov, claims that there was a “fire of industrial waste in an… pic.twitter.com/b70MfOOwZz
— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) August 27, 2023
… and in Kursk, which is 100 kilometers across the border with Ukraine. Here Kiev struck surprisingly and with a swarm of drones on the night of August 27th damaged four Su-30 and one Miog-29 fighter jet as well as an S-300 and two Pantsir air defense systems, the reports «Ukrainian Truth».
The fact that the attack was so effective is apparently due to the design of the drones: Allegedly, specimens from the Australian manufacturer Sypaq Corvo were used, which are made of cardboard and can carry four to five kilograms. They should have a range of 1230 kilometers.
True, that’s not enough to hit the Russian city of Kemerovo, which is 3,300 kilometers from the Ukrainian border. But there was also a fire in a pyrotechnic factory. Whether it was an accident or sabotage remains to be seen.
classification
Kyrylo Budanov believes that the attacks and casualties are taking their toll on the Russian arms industry. Otherwise Moscow would ask for ammunition in North Korea, Iran or Cuba, explains the director of the Ukrainian military intelligence service. «Except the human has [Putin] no more resources», says him in an interview. “It’s the only thing they still have enough quantity of.”
Urozhaine, Donetsk Oblast, Ukrainian Su-25s provide air support, striking Russian positions in the center of town with heavyweight unguided rockets.
(Accidently turned into a bit of a thread) pic.twitter.com/Dj3GKVpBPq
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) August 24, 2023
The Washington Think Tank Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) meanwhile certifies Ukraine: «Ukraine – victory is closer than expected». Contrary to all prophecies of doom, Kiev is making “substantial progress”. “Russia’s generals know that, even if the West doesn’t,” the Americans analyze.
Southern Ukraine, a Ukrainian Mi-24P Hind gunship from the 18th Army Aviation Brigade conducts an attack run with US-supplied Hydra-70 rockets in M261 rocket pods. pic.twitter.com/0w7mX2MwtS
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) August 27, 2023
The CEPA repeats what was already in the Situation report Ukraine has been addressed: If Ukrainian forces advance just 10 to 15 kilometers further south, their artillery threatens Russian supply lines in the region.
THE ANGRY BULL: Defense Minister Reznikov confirms Germany will transfer long-range Taurus Air Launched Cruise Missiles (ALCMs) to Ukraine. A turbofan engine powers the missile at Mach 0.95 with an operational range of greater than 310 miles (500 Km). pic.twitter.com/6Q2w2H3Ylc
— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) August 27, 2023
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#Situation #report #Ukraine #War #Ukraine #Selenskyj #trumps #hand
