2023-08-26 04:00:00
The elected members of the National Assembly will have to find solutions to the cost of living crisis for their return to parliament. Everything is looking good in the voting intentions of Quebecers, who are more concerned regarding the price of food and inflation than regarding any other subject, reveals the major Leger back-to-school poll.The newspaper.
Getty Images via AFP
“Inflation, interest rates, food prices, this is the subject of the return to parliament. This is the political subject of next fall”, summarizes the pollster Jean-Marc Léger, whose firm questioned more than 1000 voters, from August 18 to 21.
• Read also: Food price inflation: we eat less and eat less well
These three elements are in the top 5 of the most discussed news topics this summer, along with traffic congestion and extreme weather events, such as forest fires.
Topics to discuss with your loved ones
What have you talked regarding the most this summer with your loved ones (your family, your neighbors or your friends) among the following current topics? (3 possible answers*)
Extreme weather events (forest fires, heat waves, smog, etc.)
Construction sites / Road congestion
A date you
*Given the possibility of giving more than one answer, the total of the mentions exceeds 100%.
The financial anxiety of Quebecers, which is palpable, has not stopped growing, since the effect of interest rates has not yet hit those who are preparing to renew their mortgage.
• Read also: Mortgage rates close to 7% scare off increasingly indebted buyers and owners
Despite the arrival of a new variant, COVID-19, which put François Legault at the forefront throughout the pandemic, is far in the concerns of Quebecers. “Not only does it no longer exist, but they no longer want to hear regarding it,” notes Mr. Léger. The political gossip of the summer, the separation of Justin Trudeau and Sophie Grégoire, did not fascinate Quebecers.
The Prime Minister’s popularity rating remains as high as ever, while the Parti Québécois is becoming “more and more the national alternative to the CAQ”, according to Jean-Marc Léger.
The caquistes are well ahead (37%) and the rise of the PQ seems to have consolidated at 22%.
Provincial voting intentions
37% of Quebecers would choose the CAQ of Legault.
If provincial elections were held today, which party would you be voting for?
A date you
Other party: 3%
• Read also: SURVEY: Legault still popular, PSPP his closest rival
In the Quebec City region, where a by-election will be called in Jean-Talon, François Legault’s party is only two points ahead of Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s. “It’s a two-man fight,” notes Mr. Léger once once more.
12 % pour QS
With 36% support in Quebec among 18-34 year olds, but only 12% in the electorate as a whole, Quebec solidaire remains “a party essentially of young people”, observes Mr. Léger.
Considering that the 45-year-olds are those who vote the most in by-elections, this is “not a good omen” for Québec solidaire in Jean-Talon, believes Mr. Léger.
The by-election will also be an opportunity to see if the CAQ will pay a political price for the abandonment of the third road link. “It is certain that it works once morest the CAQ, but to what extent,” wonders Mr. Léger.
The fact that CAQ MP Joëlle Boutin resigned only a few months following her re-election gives the CAQ one more grip, according to Mr. Léger. “There shouldn’t be another one,” warns the pollster.
The trend is still not more encouraging for the Liberal Party of Quebec, which continues its descent, even among non-francophones. A single point puts him ahead of Éric Duhaime’s Conservative Party. “It’s a wake-up call for the Liberal Party,” points out Jean-Marc Léger.
There is no “messiah” to save the PLQ, notes the pollster, in view of the upcoming leadership race.
Marc Tanguay Photo archives
Interim leader Marc Tanguay has the most support from Liberal sympathizers, followed by far by Marwah Rizqy. But 51% of them don’t even know what to answer when asked who would make the best chef.
51 %
More than half of Liberal supporters don’t even know what to answer when asked who would be the best leader for their party.
The way Quebecers are used to filling their grocery basket has changed considerably due to inflation.
Grocery Shopping Habits
When you go grocery shopping, do you have, because of the prices…*
Stopped buying certain products
Reduced the quantity of products you buy
Diminished the quality of the products you buy
A date you
*Given the possibility of giving more than one answer, the total of the mentions exceeds 100%.
With a pound of butter at $8 and a packet of bacon at $10, three-quarters of respondents to our big back-to-school survey have stopped buying certain products, due to inflation. “It’s huge,” says pollster Jean-Marc Léger.
The more time passes, the more the level of financial concern of Quebecers increases. In a sign that rising interest rates have yet to hit everywhere, barely a third of respondents with a mortgage say their payments have increased.
Mortgage payments
Over the past year, have your mortgage payments…
The possibility of reviving the controversial Gentilly-2 plant and the nuclear sector in Quebec is far from pleasing Quebecers. Less than a quarter of respondents think this is a good idea.
The Gentilly-2 generating station along the St. Lawrence River in Champlain. Photo Andréanne Lemire/QMI Agency
60%
Most Quebecers think it’s a bad idea for Hydro-Québec to produce more electricity by building nuclear power plants.
“Even the caquistes are opposed to it”, underlines the pollster Jean-Marc Léger.
On the other hand, wind farms are popular. The level of support is over 80% among supporters of almost all parties, except among the Conservatives of Éric Duhaime (51%).
The construction of small and large dams also obtains the favor of a majority of voters.
METHODOLOGY: Web survey conducted from August 18 to 21, 2023 among 1,036 Quebecers aged 18 or over who have the right to vote in Quebec. It is not possible to calculate a margin of error on a sample drawn from a panel, but for comparison, the maximum margin of error for a sample of 1036 respondents is ± 3.04%, and this 19 times out of 20.
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