2023-08-13 00:46:00
1,855,449 people live in the 568,337 households in Córdoba and its metropolitan area, 305,177 more than those who inhabited this city four years ago, when 50 percent of the population supported the re-election of Mauricio Macri, a local wave that did not compensated for the national triumph of Alberto Fernandez.
Less than 10 percent of this population makes their first electoral weapons in this Sunday’s election: they are between 16 and 22 years old, so they are debutants or inexperienced in presidential elections, although this is the step of the October 22 elections. , when the tenth consecutive presidential election is held, a historic event.
These 173,542 young people from Cordoba between the ages of 16 and 22 have complex conditions in the context of this crisis: more work, and that gives them better social coverage, although they study less, which raises questions regarding the future.
Less “neither”
The first encouraging piece of data is the drop in the segment of young people considered “neither-nor”, which refers to those who neither work nor study, a subgroup that has been heavily stigmatized in recent years.
Not counting housewives, there were 36,927 “neither-nors” in Córdoba when Mauricio Macri was seeking re-election four years ago, and there are 31,259 in the months prior to the election that will determine Alberto Fernández’s successor; which implies a decrease of 5,668 individuals in the city of Córdoba and its metropolitan area.
The decrease in “neither-nors” is linked to the fact that there are more young people working: there were 51,471 in the months before the 2019 elections, there are currently 53,261.
The number does not speak of the quality of employment, which is generally precarious or directly informal in this segment, but there is an encouraging fact: there are fewer girls and boys without social work coverage: there were 84,885 in 2019, there are 78,888 in 2023.
The other side of the same coin is the decrease in the total number of students, which implies a problem in the immediate future: in 2019 there were 90,202 students between 16 and 22 years of age; this year there are 78,517, a decrease of 11,685 in middle and higher level classrooms.
Perhaps tied to this phenomenon is the fall of young people who came to study and settle in the city of Córdoba in recent years, without forgetting the prolonged quarantine that suspended university classes for almost all of 2020 and encouraged virtual courses.
In this sense, it is worth saying that in 2019 there were 47,712 young people between the ages of 16 and 22 who were not born in the city of Córdoba; and this year that number is 36,072, a notable drop from which one might infer the economic complications that threaten the migration of university students from the interior and other provinces to the Cordoba capital.
The Permanent Household Survey (EPH) shows another encouraging data regarding women and their roles: this year there are fewer young “housewives” than in 2019. In the run-up to that presidential election there were 11,488 young people who fulfilled that traditional role; and currently there are 9,803, a decrease of 14.6 percent.
The drop in the number of “housewives” is not linked to fewer new couples: more young people of this age are living together (married or cohabiting) than in 2019, when there were 17,203, compared to 18,774 they currently do.
It is likely that several of these data will be the reading key for the vote this Sunday, and the harvest of votes that the antagonistic spaces that dispute the “youth vote” will have, such as Juan Grabois for the left wing of Unión por la Patria, and Javier Milei on the right lane.
non-voters
The group that does not vote is the most impacted by the crisis: girls, boys and adolescents up to 15 years of age, a segment that currently has 359,272 individuals, once morest the 365,561 that comprised it in 2019.
Despite the decrease in this population group, currently the number that does not have medical coverage is greater: there were 177,226 girls, boys and adolescents without social work in the last months of Macri in La Rosada and today there are 191,210 in that condition of vulnerability, in the last months of Alberto Fernández in La Rosada.
The EPH also registers an increase in the schooling of those over 3 years of age, which is why the number of girls and boys attending educational establishments increased: currently, 94.5 percent of this group attends school, when it is four years ago the percentage was 92.9 percent.
Regarding those over 8 years of age and under 15, the INDEC data indicates that almost all of them know how to read and write, but not 100 percent: in the 2019 study it was established that 601 boys and girls might not do so, and that number grew to 1,662 this year; a warning light on one of the great challenges of the next government and one of the great demands of the Argentine electorate.
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