Armenian-Azerbaijani Conflict: Insights from Russian Political Analyst Alexei Mukhin

2023-06-05 20:27:00

EADaily tells in detail regarding the vicissitudes of the Armenian-Azerbaijani negotiations and related events, the development of which can hardly be predicted today. And here we have to talk regarding the very restrained statements of Baku and a certain information flow of consciousness in Yerevan. And here is what the well-known Russian political scientist, general director of the Center for Political Information, Alexei Mukhin, thinks regarding this.

— Alexey Alekseevich, members of Nikol Pashinyan’s power team continue to resent Moscow’s “actions and inactions” and reproach Russia for all sorts of sins, including the crushing defeat of Yerevan in the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict.

In order to win the war, you had to prepare for it. And the government of Nikol Pashinyan did exactly the opposite. Dealing with the solution of their issues, strengthening personal positions. That is, it rested on the political, but not on the military component. The result is defeat. There can be no other opinion here.

During the military conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Russia did the maximum that it might do in such conditions, being in a conventional, legal field.

If Moscow had taken a more active position, then it would have had to leave the aforementioned legal field. Hence the conclusion: all the emotional accusations of the Armenian side are irrelevant, unfair and highly biased. What should be taken into account in the context of the news from Yerevan.

– If Armenia nevertheless gives Nagorno-Karabakh to Azerbaijan, which dominates the negotiations, how will Moscow build its policy in this direction?

– In order for Armenia to give Nagorno-Karabakh, it must first belong to it. And judging by what is happening in the official vein, Nagorno-Karabakh is an independent state entity, albeit unrecognized.

And the fault of the Armenian side is that it has not done anything in these thirty years to somehow indicate its position in relation to Stepanakert.

– Does this mean that a certain Anthony Blinken from the US State Department will take into account the opinion of Nagorno-Karabakh in the final deal?

– I doubt. Mr. Blinken is a man who plays dirty geopolitical games and does not give a damn regarding Nagorno-Karabakh.

— And how do you assess the development of events in the South Caucasus?

— In essence, I am an optimist, but in this situation I am pessimistic. These are the realities.

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