2023-05-31 00:12:00
The fight of “thirds” between the Frente de Todos, Juntos por el Cambio and the libertarian Javier Milei that has been shaping up for months for the presidential elections might take place more clearly in the PASO of August than in the general ones of October and the internal quarrel between Horacio Rodriguez Larreta y Patricia Bullrich promises to be decisive for the other stages of the national definition.
This is clear from the latest survey by the Synopsis consultancy, which yields two key data: that Milei consolidates his “third” in the face of the PASO with good prospects of being the most voted individual candidate but weakens for the generals and that Larreta runs with a slight advantage over Bullrich, boosted by the projection of a ballot.
The survey, carried out between May 6 and 13 on 1,631 cases throughout the country and a margin of error of 2.3%, showed firstly that for the presidential elections the overall voting intention favors the opposition 55.6% while the ruling party remains stable at 27.5%, with 16.9% undecided.
But later, the survey revealed PASS and runoff scenarios who were the ones they caught the attention of larretismo in the middle of the race with Bullrich, as learned by iProfessional. The same data ignites a red light for the Frente de Todos in front of Mileiwho for his part denounces these days an alleged “red circle decision” to “stop” his space, which is not contemplated in the numbers he harvests.
Elections 2023: the survey numbers and the advantage that excites Larreta
When measuring the intention to vote for the PASO without Cristina Kirchner in the Frente de Todos and without other pre-candidates in Together for Change other than Larreta and Bullrich, a scenario that today seems very probable, the Buenos Aires head of government took a adjusted difference of two points the former president of the PRO, with 14% once morest 12.2%.
Nevertheless, By limiting the query to only those who expressed their intention to vote for Together for Change, Larreta reaped 44.3% once morest Bullrich’s 40.1%, with the radical Facundo Manes in the internal and barely 9.4% . The same measurement without him showed 53.2% for the mayor of Buenos Aires and 43.9% for the former Minister of Security.
Larreta takes a light advantage over Bullrich and Milei confirms her “third” for the PASO
In larretismo they cling to those figures because they mark that among potential opposition voters they have a greater advantage from which they draw in general. To this is added that the survey projected six balloting scenarios and in the result, the porteño was more solid than his internal rival both once morest Sergio Massa -the one who best measures the ruling party- and once morest Milei.
According to the Synopsis survey, in a ballot Larreta would get 46.1% once morest Massa’s 39.8% and a 40.3% once morest 38.5% of Milewhile Bullrich would take an agonizing point of advantage over the Minister of Economy, with 45.1% once morest 44.8% but would lose by the same difference with the libertarian, with 37.2% for her and 38.1% for the leader of La Libertad Avana.
Milei and the “third” that bothers the FdT for the STEP
When asking those consulted who “would be more inclined to vote for” if “today were the presidential elections” and dividing the offer by political spaces, Together for Change obtained 26.2% and narrowly beat Frente de Todos with 24.9%. Third and farther away appeared the “liberals/libertarians” with 17.1%.
However, when asking the same question but oriented to the STEP and with the possible candidates discriminated by political space, the Milei’s numbers changed appreciably. There, Together for Change scored 26.2% with the sum of Larreta (14%) and Bullrich (12.2%) while the Frente de Todos obtained 24.6% with Massa (14.3%) and Daniel Scioli (10.3%).
Milei, who goes to PASO without an internal rival, in this case reaped 25.2% which, unlike the other measurement, shows a much clearer “thirds” scenario, with the addition that the libertarian leaves the Front of Thirds third. All and emerges as the most voted individually.
These figures confirm that the key scenario for the ruling party is that of the PASO and that Milei continues to represent an alert for both spacesgiven that although it falls into the measurement for the presidential elections by space, its personal figure has weight. This explains why in the larretismo they are motivated not only with the numbers of the inmate but with the projection of the second ballot.
Milei advances with electoral definitions while denouncing a campaign once morest her
The libertarian denounced that the “red circle” wants to lower it
Mounted on those measurements, Milei advances in the definition of its electoral assembly. To the confirmation that Victoria Villarruel will be his running mate, Diana Mondino was now added as a candidate for national deputy for the City and the possibility of taking the mayor of Chivilcoy, Guillermo Britos, a retired former commissioner, as a candidate for Buenos Aires governor.
However, In contrast to these advances and the numbers that smile at her, Milei denounced through her social networks that “there is a concerted decision between the political and economic establishment to try to stop the advance” of her political space.
“Today a coordinated attack on our social networks is added. Twitter has decided to ‘disappear’ me from the platform at someone’s request. Try yourselves to find me on the platform. The same has happened on Instagram and other social networks,” said the candidate.
Milei also pointed out the existence of “defamatory articles” and “journalists who publish information provided” by their adversaries, following which he remarked: “It is evident that there is a decision in the red circle to try to brake the changes that Argentina needs to move forward”.
And he added: “What we are seeing these days is only the beginning. The attacks and defamations will increase. Because they are afraid. Because they know they are going to lose their privileges.”
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