“The Vote for Erdogan: Socio-Economic Factors and Religious Polarization in Turkey”

2023-05-15 09:45:00

Is there a link between the vote for Edogan and the socio-economic level of the constituencies

2GT7

Certainly. The coastal regions, the big cities of the west, acquired from the CHP, are certainly richer than the regions of the Black Sea or the center of Anatolia. Traditionally, the coasts – Aegean and Mediterranean – are more favorable to CHP. This is an economically active electorate (tourism, small SME services) and which was certainly counting on the election of Kiliçdaroglu for the economy to pick up once more.

On the other hand, central Anatolia is more rural, more traditional, more assisted too. Thanks to the patronage system put in place by Erdogan in recent years, millions of households in these regions live on government subsidies. If Erdogan loses, they are afraid of no longer receiving these aids.

Another point is the importance of religion, Sunni Islam, on which Erdogan insists, by polarizing society once morest the Kurds, the Alevi, all those who do not conform to the model. He has a powerful tool at his disposal, Diyanet, which, with its thousands of imams and officials, has developed a dense network throughout Turkey. In the villages there is no need to have an AKP representation for electoral propaganda, the mosque is enough.

Marie Jego

1684145850
#Polling #institutes #proven #unreliable

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