2023-05-14 09:58:36
On November 30, 2022, the American startup OpenAI launched ChatGPT. The number of users exceeded 1 million in five days, and the number of monthly active users exceeded 100 million two months later, making it the fastest growing consumer application in human history. In the “Dialogue” program broadcast on CCTV’s financial channel on the 13th, Zhou Hongyi, the founder of 360 Group, and Wang Xiaochuan, the founder and CEO of Baichuan Intelligent, both believed that people who do not know how to use GPT will be eliminated in the future.
ChatGPT is a large-scale language model developed by OpenAI in the United States. It is a deep learning model that can generate human-like text responses by pre-training a large amount of text data. ChatGPT can be used for a variety of tasks, including text translation, summarizing and refining central ideas, one-click generation of PPT, writing copy, video editing, image recognition, programming and other tasks.
ChatGPT-4.0 is already the smartest “person” on earth
Zhou Hongyi said that this artificial intelligence is real, not fake. It is not artificial “mentally retarded” like the past, it is “weak” artificial intelligence, or vertical artificial intelligence, it is general artificial intelligence. ChatGPT-4.0 is already the smartest “person” on the planet. All high-tech companies are building their own large-scale models, at least a “thousand-model war”, not surprisingly, it will soon develop into a “ten thousand-model war”.
Making a large model is like “alchemy”
Wang Xiaochuan said that three things are needed to do this. The first is capital. If you want to achieve the level of OpenAI, money must be an important aspect; the second is cognition. The establishment and development of cognition requires our joint efforts; the third is Organizational ability, this is not an individual behavior, it cannot be done by one or two people in the laboratory.
Zhou Hongyi described that the whole training is a bit like “alchemy”. Before the table of chemical elements was discovered, “artists alchemy” was to change the formula little by little. There were many uncertainties, so OpenAI also went through a lot of pitfalls.
Will people who can’t use GPT be eliminated in the future?
Wang Xiaochuan believes that everyone has the ability to embrace it. People who won’t use GPT in the future are like people who don’t know how to use search engines yet.
Zhou Hongyi predicted that those who do not know how to use GPT will be eliminated in the future. Don’t think of it as a new-age search or a new chatbot, it’s just a wrapper for the first version. I think that in three to five years, various industries will be reshaped by GPT, so whoever does not embrace artificial intelligence now will be eliminated.
Which industry will be replaced first? What new industries will emerge?
Zhou Hongyi pointed out that he personally thinks that most of them will not be replaced. Just like software engineers, GPT cannot replace software engineers. Although it can now write code, write specific modules or specific functions, the structure of the entire program still requires a system architect.
Wang Xiaochuan believes that GPT is not used as a tool, but as a partner. It not only improves our production efficiency, but also helps us solve the problem of “how to do it”. Humanity will go to a new realm, rather than a paradigmatic change in the original industrial revolution. With technology like GPT today, many things have been replaced by “end” to “end”. Everyone can understand the world, live a more self-conscious life, and find the meaning of their true existence.
Shen Yang, a professor at the School of Journalism at Tsinghua University, said that industries where deep-level AI has been able to surpass the level of ordinary people will be obviously replaced. Like our team, it is basically all machine translation now. At the same time, many new occupations will appear in the future, such as prompters. AI has a characteristic, the stronger the questioner’s ability to ask questions, the stronger its ability to answer. New occupations are constantly being created, and the salaries are also high.
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