2023-05-10 02:56:34
“Nothing has changed”, but the discussion continues: Joe Biden and tenors of the opposition camped on their positions Tuesday on the American public debt, while a default threatens in the short term.
“I hope this president understands that as the leader of this nation, you cannot (…) hold the country hostage,” Republican Kevin McCarthy said following an interview in the Oval Office. According to the Speaker of the House of Representatives, “nothing changed” following an hour-long exchange with the Democratic leader and three other Congress leaders.
Read also: US debt ceiling: “This time everything is more difficult”
But he signaled that the same protagonists would meet once more on Friday, which was confirmed by Joe Biden, who wanted to be a little more optimistic during an exchange with the press. He spoke of a “productive” meeting and promised that he would do “everything in (his) power to avoid” a default by the world’s leading power, which never happened. This is “not an option”, he hammered.
The president even deemed it “possible”, if the blockage continues, to cancel a trip to take him in ten days to Japan then to Papua New Guinea and Australia in order to strengthen American alliances in the area. Asia Pacific.
“Hostage”
The leader of the Senate Democrats Chuck Schumer for his part returned the courtesy to his Republican opponents, also accusing Kevin McCarthy of holding the debt ceiling “hostage”, because it conditions the vote on an increase in the debt ceiling to budget cuts.
Read also: Debt ceiling: the American economy hostage to politicians’ calculations
This legislative maneuver, specific to the United States and which consists in increasing the maximum amount of authorized public debt, is essential to prevent the world’s leading power from finding itself, perhaps as of June 1 or in any case this summer, unable to pay its bills, officials and creditors.
In this case where each camp accuses the other of blackmail at default, the White House insists that raising the debt ceiling, long a mere formality, must be voted on without conditions or negotiations. The Conservatives are asking for the debt issue to be linked to an effort on public spending, which they consider to be out of control.
Joe Biden has ruled out, due to legal complications, resorting in the short term to a kind of coup de force which would see him invoke the 14th amendment to the American Constitution in order to continue to issue debt despite the famous ceiling. But he said that once the current crisis is over, he intends to think regarding it to “see if it works”.
This political impasse, if it is not completely new – Republicans and Democrats had already engaged in similar contests during the presidency of Barack Obama – does not cause less already the feverishness of the markets.
Political stake
To lift the threat of a default, Joe Biden needs to convince some of the Republican senators, for lack of a sufficient majority in the upper house. Above all, he needs to find common ground with Kevin McCarthy.
The Democratic president and the Republican leader are playing big: the credibility of the American debt, but also their political credit. The first, at 80, is a candidate for re-election and is unable to boost his low popularity rating. The second, elected with difficulty at the head of the lower house by a slim majority, must consolidate his position.
The debt ceiling is currently set at some $31 trillion – the record for all sovereign debt in the world in absolute terms. This amount was reached in mid-January, but the federal government has so far managed the situation through accounting manoeuvres.
If the impasse continues, for the first time, holders of US Treasury bonds, the king of global finance, might no longer recover their stake. So, the White House assures him, the robust recovery for which the American president takes credit is over: the markets would collapse, the recession would be historic and unemployment would soar sharply in the United States – with consequences for the whole of Europe. Mondial economy.
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