Analysis: Xi Jinping misjudged the rise of the east and the decline of the west, and the confrontation between China and the United States is hard to stop | Cross-Strait News | Cross-Strait


Chinese PresidentXi JinpingAfter 3 re-election, the diplomatic actions continued, which led to the resumption of diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran, and high-profile visitsRussiaand may take away Taiwan’s diplomatic relationshonduras.Some analysts said that Xi Jinping misjudged the “east rises and west falls” and frequentlyU.S.Demonstrations, the confrontation between China and the United States is hard to stop.

On the 22nd, Voice of America published an interview with Zhao Suisheng, a professor at the Institute of International Studies at the University of Denver in the United States.


Zhao Suisheng described that Xi Jinping’s series of diplomatic moves is to demonstrate “major power diplomacy”, that is, to restore China’s position at the center of the international stage, shoulder the responsibility of a major power, make everyone respect China, and become a world leader to some extent.

He said that Xi Jinping is largely showing the United States that China is on an equal footing with the United States, and that the confrontation between China and the United States has reached a point where it is difficult to stop to some extent.

Zhao Suisheng believes that Xi Jinping can achieve many tactical successes, such as taking away Honduras, Taiwan’s diplomatic ally, and China can provide some economic benefits, and it will definitely succeed.

He said that during the Russia-Ukraine war, Xi Jinping was afraid that the regime of Russian President Vladimir Putin would fall, which would put China at the forefront of confrontation with the United States, but if he completely leaned towards Russia, he would be condemned by the international community, so Xi Jinping would not Possibly completely neutral, but at least with a fair stance.

Zhao Suisheng said that Xi Jinping’s foreign policy is a misjudgment of “the rise of the east and the fall of the west”. In fact, China is completely incapable of replacing the United States. “Whether the Chinese themselves or many Western countries have exaggerated the speed of China’s rise. strength to develop.”

He quoted Shi Yinhong, a professor of international relations at Renmin University of China, who also believed that China’s approach is a “strategic overdraft”, that is, China does not have the strength; Yan Xuetong, dean of the School of International Relations at Tsinghua University in Beijing, also said that China is doing something that is completely incompatible with China’s national strength. Disproportionate things will only harm China’s own interests in the end.

Zhao Suisheng also pointed out that under China’s one-party system, Chinese leaders are not constrained by public opinion, there is no opposition party, and even the most powerful leaders have no term limit. The role of leaders in foreign affairs is unmatched by other countries.

He said that Xi Jinping’s overinflated desires and goals, and even believed that these goals can be achieved in his lifetime, so Xi Jinping’s policies are largely “overstretched.”

As for the consequences of Xi Jinping’s “excessive stretching” of Taiwan, Zhao Suisheng said, “I am really worried.” Xi Jinping’s changes in power over the past few years can be seen in the development trend of his major country diplomacy. Even following many setbacks, he is still tough.

“Many of Xi’s decisions now are irrational to a certain extent,” Zhao Suisheng said, so he is very worried that Xi Jinping may attack Taiwan by force when the outside world thinks that China does not have the conditions.

He believes that on the one hand, the United States should not provoke Xi Jinping to use force once morest Taiwan, and on the other hand, it should help Taiwan strengthen its defense capabilities and deter China.

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