Game Theory is a mathematical method used in decision making and problem solving in case of uncertainty. The method was invented in 1928 by a mathematician. John von Neuman Developed by the economist in 1944 MorgensternIt has been applied in economics. The axiom of the method is that each player’s gain or loss depends not only on his particular decision, behavior; The opponent’s decision also depends on his behavior. Each player’s gain is the others’ loss. The goal is to maximize the gain, maximize the benefit, and minimize the potential harm.
The political situation of the country, the behaviors, the strategies of the parties can be tried to be analyzed within the framework of Game Theory.
The game started with an attempt to create a “enhanced parliamentary system” (GPS) once morest the presidential system of government (CHS), which is also described as freak, autocracy, one-man. When the game is simply played by two players, GPS will aim to draft a purposeful constitution, with a two-thirds majority in Parliament, if any, with other supporters, or at least a 60 percent majority that will lead the draft to a referendum. The People’s Alliance will also try to maintain the status quo or at least retain the presidency. As a matter of fact, it was treated like this. While Erdoğan was asking for votes for the last time, the MHP held rallies with the only candidate Erdoğan. The game is a one-shot for Erdogan. When a wide GPS platform was not created, but a table of six was set up and the purpose of determining the president’s approval and acting together in the election was brought to the forefront, the number of players increased and expectations diverged.
In Game Theory, the strategies to be followed are different if the game is one shot and if it is constantly repeated. I will try to convey the priorities and strategies of the players in our current political life as much as I can.
For IYI Party, especially Akşener, the game is one shot. In the game that will be repeated five years later, Akşener may not even be the IYI Party. If the game is one shot, the strategy is to get the highest win in one shot. For Akşener and the IYI Party, the targeted gain is to become the strongest party of the centre-right, to become the first party in the Grand National Assembly of Turkey, and to pave the way for Akşener to become the prime minister in GPS. In order for this gain to be achieved, Erdoğan had to lose the election and the AKP had to be dissolved. For its realization, the formula of “strong candidate to win the election” was insisted on. Akşener and the IYI Party did not see Kılıçdaroğlu as a strong candidate to win the election, they were emphatic and even openly said. Supporting a candidate who might not win the election would not have contributed to the purpose of Akşener and the IYI Party, it was not a strategy that would make a profit in the game. For this reason, names that might beat Erdoğan in the first round were persistently put forward. However, when it was understood that the candidate at the table was Kılıçdaroğlu, Akşener did not agree with the choice, which was not beneficial, and left the table. Imamoglu tried to repeat the names of Yavaş and make a call. When the alternative creation failed, İmamoğlu Slow-backed with the reinforced Kılıçdaroğlu formula. Since the realization of the goal for Akşener and the IYI Party now depends on Kılıçdaroğlu winning the election, they have to support Kılıçdaroğlu even if they are not voluntarily.
For DEVA and the Future Erdogan’s loss of the election was a priority but not vital. It is important to stay in the game as the game continues intermittently, and for this, it was a safe strategy to enter the Turkish Grand National Assembly at the first stage. They found it appropriate to stay at the table and to support Kılıçdaroğlu due to their goals and strategies.
Since survival was the goal for Saadet and DP, they preferred to enter the Parliament and show a flag once morest Kılıçdaroğlu’s support; Together they saw the movement as safe.
Playmaker Kılıçdaroğlu had built the game on the presidency. He was fierce, eager to be nominated, and the game was a one-shot for him, too. In the policy, the “quid pro quo” rule and the “win-win” option of the mutually beneficial game were taken into consideration. The game is not a one-shot for CHP, it is continuous.
The game is not over yet. There was no “Nash equilibrium”, where players might not profit by changing their strategy. New players can join the game, players can make new decisions at every decision stage, point. Change is to be expected as long as players’ expectations of additional gains are not met by a strategy change.
Mustafa Kemal PashaAs emphasized in the Amasya Circular published by . However, the goal can be realized with “respectable persons”.
