Decoding ‘Nuclear War’, how many chances are there?

The Al Jazeera website reports. Medvedev, former Russian president from 2008 to 2012, vice-president of Putin’s powerful Security Council. Posted in telegram messaging applications

“The defeat of a nuclear superpower in a conventional war might provoke a nuclear war. Nuclear powers have never been defeated in a great conflict.”

The Kremlin government immediately accepted Medvedev’s son. The government will operate according to Russian principles that allow nuclear strikes. After the invasion of the Russian Federation by primitive weapons threatened its existence.

Medvedev, 57, had previously presented himself as a reformer ready to work with the United States to liberalize Russia. At present, he has revised his image as a Putin insider who speaks the most hawkishly in the media.

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Medvedev has repeatedly spoken of the chaos of nuclear threats. and contemptuously referring to Western nations Russia and the United States are now the world’s largest nuclear powers. It owns regarding 90% of the world’s nuclear warheads.

According to the Federation of American Scientists, Russia has 5,977 nuclear warheads, the United States 5,428, China 350, France 290 and the United Kingdom 225.

as president Putin is Russia’s ultimate decision-maker in using nuclear weapons. Washington has not released details of what it would do if Putin ordered nuclear weapons for the first time in a war since the US attacked the Japanese cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945.

As for NATO, even with traditional weapons superior to Russia. But in terms of nuclear weapons, Russia is superior to NATO.

Russia’s nuclear threat puts Washington in high tension. US intelligence reports also stated that Russian military leaders discuss using nuclear weapons The New York Times website reported that This concern still exists but is not as tense as before. Due to many factors, namely, the battle in the battlefield is more stable. China warns once morest using nuclear weapons Communication between Moscow and Washington has improved. In addition, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has been increasingly active in Ukraine.

Although the trend toward nuclear escalation continues to influence the US decision-making process when it comes to delivering modern weapons to Ukraine. But almost a year has passed. American policy makers and intelligence analysts are increasingly confident that At least they understood Putin’s red line to some extent. Know what kind of support for Ukraine Russia will condemn. And which type is more vulnerable to retaliation?

adjust the doomsday clock

There were no signs that Russia was mobilizing nuclear weapons, but in January, members of the science and security committee for the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists in Chicago, Illinois, moved the doomsday clock. at 90 seconds or 1 minute and 30 seconds before midnight

with the view that the destruction of humanity is the closest in history

“Threats are changing. of Russia to use nuclear weapons to warn the world that if conflict escalates, whether by accident, intentional or miscalculation It’s a terrifying risk,” the scientist said.

Weapon control failed.

The nuclear threat is back, not just because of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. But the US-Soviet arms control treaty used to ease Cold War tensions is either dead or broken.

Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty The landmark treaty in 1972 collapsed in 2002.

In 2019, the United States withdrew from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Missile Limitation Treaty. It alleges that Russia violated its commitments, and last year the 2011 new US-Russia nuclear warhead limitation treaty collapsed, and Washington once more accused Moscow of not complying.

Nuclear does not provide stability.

Pavel Podwig, Senior Research Fellow at the United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research look at the opposite Russia’s threat might make the world a little safer. By reminding the new generation that they have never thought regarding the dangers of nuclear apocalypse before.

First, Russia may have calculated that it might start and end a war in Ukraine very quickly because of its nuclear weapons. But when it clashed with nuclear-armed NATO support, This conflict may show that nuclear weapons are “obsolete”. “They don’t give you any security.”

Secondly, retaliation from world leaders such as India and China who are friends with Russia. Moscow talks regarding nuclear This adds to the perception that nuclear threats are taboo.

In September, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi raised concerns regarding nuclear talks with President Vladimir Putin.

Later in November, the leader of the G20 group announced the closing of the meeting in Bali, which Russia attended The use or threat of using nuclear weapons is a matter of “Unacceptable”

Even more important is the joint statement between President Joe Biden and President Xi Jinping in Bali. “Nuclear war should not happen. and no one will be victorious. They oppose the use or threat of nuclear weapons in Ukraine.”

Decoding 'Nuclear War', how many chances are there?

Washington softened its stance, failing to repeatedly warn of the “serious consequences” for nuclear use.

“It turns out that people don’t like it when states say that. People are once once more becoming aware of the dangers of nuclear war,” Podwig said.

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