for being a election year, 2023 will be marked by politics and, above all, by the surveys that guide politicians, and all interested parties, on the most probable results to be obtained in the elections. A new survey by the consulting firm ARESCO – Julio Aurelio yielded interesting results, especially those that place the Minister of Economy, Sergio Massa as a possible winner in virtually all scenarios with only one exception: the ballot.
In this way, in the framework of future Simultaneous and Mandatory Open Primary (PASO) elections, the poll marked a small difference in the intention to vote between the two main political forces. In this sense, with three candidates Together for Change added 34.5%Meanwhile he Frente de Todos took 30.2% with two candidates.
A survey measured candidates if there was a runoff and the opposition would win in almost all scenarios
Regarding the internalwithin the opposition topped the list Patricia Bullrich with a voting intention of 15.7%, followed by Horacio Rodriguez Larreta with 12.7% and Facundo Manes a little behind with 6.1%. For their part, in the ruling party, those surveyed chose between Alberto Fernandez and the Minister of Economy, giving him 14.7% and 15.5%, respectively.
Outside it was located Javier Miley with a voting intention of 18.8%, followed by the formula Schiaretti-Urtubey with only 3.9% and Myriam Bregman with 2.3%.
Survey: Jorge Macri, Lousteau and Marra, the most elected for the leadership of the City Government
However, facing some general elections the stage turned and the Frente de Todos received a voting intention of 29.8%proposing Massa as a candidate with the support of Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, while Together for Change was located just a few steps behind with 29.5%running for Buenos Aires head of government together with the leader of the PRO.
Again behind was the liberal economist with 18.8%, followed by the set of the Cordovan governor and the ex-governor from Salta with 5.3% and Myriam Bregman with 2.8%.
In any case, the scenario is rearranged in the event that Alberto Fernández decides to go for the re-electionsince said decision, according to the survey, would place the Front of All with 25.4%a couple of points below Juntos por el Cambio, which obtained 28.6%.
On the other hand, in case of runoff, the poll gave the opposition victory once morest both the economy minister and the current president. In the first scenario, with Massa as a candidate, JxC obtained 41.4% and the ruling party 35%, while in a second scenario with Fernández the percentages became 41.9% once morest 33.4%.
STEP for Governor of the Province of Buenos Aires
Regarding a PASO between candidates for governors of the Province of Buenos Aires, the Frente de Todos positioned itself above the opposition with 36.6% once morest 33.4% of JxC.
As for the internal Diego Santilli was ranked above Christian Ritondo (10,9%) y martin tetaz (7.4%) with 15.1%. On the other side, the current governor, Axel Kicillof, “swept” Victoria Tolosa Pazsince it received a 29.7% intention to vote once morest 6.9% for the Minister of Social Development.
How is the image of the leaders?
Surprisingly, it is a ranking of the evaluation of the images of the leaders, this was headed by Patricia Bullrich, who obtained a 43.6% positive image and a 27.1% negative image. At the same time, the Buenos Aires head of government received similar scores, obtaining a 41.6% positive rating and a 26.1% negative rating.
Within the ruling party, the top led it Massa with a 32.2% positive image and a 37.2% negative one, followed by the vice president Cristina Kirchnerwith 55.8% negative and 31.1% positive, and leaving behind Fernándezwith a 27.6% positive image and a 50.3% negative image.
Sergio Massa explained that Argentina and Brazil will seek “a common currency, not a single one”
Management evaluation: unfavorable for the president
Regarding the evaluation that the respondents carried out on the different efforts carried out so far, there was a fall in the appreciation of the management of the Government of President Alberto Fernándezsince a 49.1% rated it as bad or very badanother 24.6% as fair and only 23.3% as good or very good.
Regarding the Buenos Aires head of government, Horacio Rodriguez Larretaregarding his management in the City, the official obtained a positive evaluation of 39.7%a refusal of 24.6% and a regular 23.3%.
For his part, the Governor of the Province of Buenos Aires, Axel Kicillof, surpassed the Buenos Aires president by a minimum difference, since his management was evaluated as positive by 39.9%. Although later he lost out, since of the remaining percentage a 43.6% rated it negative and only 14.3% as regular.
AS./fl
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