Opta “Victory against Portugal, Korea 19.3%”… What about Uruguay-Ghana?

Portugal predicted win 58.4%, draw 22.3%

▲ Son Heung-min (left) and Lee Kang-in of the Korean national team are balancing training ahead of the match once morest Portugal in the third round of the 2022 Qatar World Cup group stage at Al Egla Training Center in Doha, Qatar on the 30th (local time). 2022.11.30 Yonhap News

Opta, a media specializing in soccer records, predicted a 19.3% chance of winning once morest Portugal in the last game of Group H in Korea at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar.

Korea will play the last group match once morest Portugal on December 3 at 0:00 (Korean time) at the Education City Stadium in Al Rayyan, Qatar.

Korea (1 point), who failed to win despite tight fights once morest Uruguay (0-0 draw) and Ghana (2-3 loss), must win once morest Portugal to have any hope of advancing to the round of 16.

If Korea beats Portugal (6 points), it will have a chance to advance to the round of 16 as second place in the group depending on the results of Uruguay (1 point) and Ghana (3 points), which will be held at the same time.

The best scenario for Korea is that Uruguay beats Ghana by one goal, or both teams draw and Korea beats Portugal by two or more points.

In this situation, Opta’s prediction using the supercomputer is Portugal win 58.4%, draw 22.3%, Korea win 19.3%was

In the event of a draw or loss, Korea will be eliminated regardless of the outcome of the Uruguay-Ghana match.

Opta’s forecast for the Uruguay-Ghana match Uruguay win 54.8%, draw 23.9%, Ghana win 21.3%All.

If Ghana wins, Korea cannot advance to the round of 16 even if it wins once morest Portugal.

Portugal's Cristiano Ronaldo (right) celebrates his team's opening goal next to Portugal's João Felix (left) during the World Cup Group H soccer match between Portugal and Uruguay at the Lusail Stadium in Lusail, Qatar, on Monday, November 28, 2022. Yes... (AP Photo/Martin Meissner)

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▲ Portugal’s Cristiano Ronaldo (right) celebrates his team’s opening goal next to Portugal’s Joao Felix (left) during the World Cup Group H soccer match between Portugal and Uruguay at the Lusail Stadium in Lusail, Qatar, on Monday, November 28, 2022 I’m doing it… (AP Photo/Martin Meissner)

Portugal, which has already confirmed its place in the round of 16, needs a top spot in Group G to avoid Brazil, who is likely to top Group G.

Opta’s ‘The Analyst’ commented on the match between Korea and Portugal on the 1st, saying, “Portugal needs to be desperate for first place in the group. Opta is predicting a 58.4% win rate for Portugal, but I don’t think they will win a landslide.”

“Like Portugal’s victory, there is a 22.3% chance of a draw that will not help Korea advance to the round of 16. However, the chance of victory, which is important for Taegeuk Warriors, was given at 19.3%,” he ordered to put his hopes on 19.3%.

Number of cases in which Korea advanced to the round of 16 at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar.  yunhap news

▲ The number of cases where Korea advances to the round of 16 at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. yunhap news

Reporter Lee Bo-hee

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