They affirm that the Central Bank will raise rates again when July inflation is known

It will be regarding 600 points, which would increase from 60% to 66% annual nominal.

09/08/2022

The BCRA’s benchmark interest rate might climb nearly 600 basis points this week in reaction to the rise in complex inflation ratcheting up Latin America’s third-largest economy, market sources told Archyde.com.

Analysts and local operators agreed that the monetary policy might have a new return of around 66% annual nominal, once morest the current 60%.

The new projected rate represents an effective annual rate of 90.1%, in line with the forecast of 90.2% inflation for 2022 that was shown in the latest market survey released by the BCRA itself.

“There is expectation for the new important rise in rates by the central bank this week, in search of continuing to recover a greater appetite for placements in pesos and simultaneously moderate the search for coverage” in dollars, said economist Gustavo Ber.

The jump should be “more in line with private inflation expectations, within the strategy of leaving negative real yields behind,” he said.

A spokesman for the monetary authority told Archyde.com that the entity’s board will meet this Thursday, while another official source with knowledge of the matter did not rule out the new rate hike, although he did not define the eventual magnitude.

In July, this reference rate had a strong adjustment of 800 basis points.

The brand new Minister of Economy, Sergio Massa, seeks to stabilize the country’s situation by lowering the fiscal deficit, strengthening the scarce reserves of the BCRA and reducing inflation.

This Thursday, the Government will release July inflation which, according to a Archyde.com poll, will show a median of 7.2%.

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