column
2022.07.29
22nd timeIbis Summer Dash(GIII, turf 1000m) was announced by the JRA on the 29th.
Last year’s winner aiming for consecutive victoryall at onceIs the 18th in the 3rd frame, the winner of 2019 and the second consecutive year in 2021lion bossis No. 1 in the 1st frame, 2 wins in 2 races on the same coursemaria’s heartwon the Shunpu Stakes of the same course in the 3rd frame and 4th last yearExcitemententered the 12th position in the 6th frame.
Here, we use data from the past 10 years to provide hints for forecasts.Frame order trend” will be analyzed.
■ Concentrate on the “inner frame” where popular horses are sluggish
maria’s heartThe 3 slots that have entered have never been involved in a betting ticket with[0-0-0-18]in the past 10 years, and the betting ticket goes back to 2008, the 10th favorite and the second symbolic grand.lion boss1 slot is[0-0-1-16]and there is only one horse in the betting ticket, but last year, the 14th popular Baccarat Queen entered the 3rd place.
all at once2 frames are[1-2-1-13]and the past 4 horses are in the betting ticket. Runners that are expected to be popular in the top ranks were concentrated in the ‘inner bracket’, which has been sluggish at Sennao Niigata.
1 frameis[0-0-1-16]win rate 0.0%, top match rate 0.0%, multiple win rate 5.9%
2 framesis[1-2-1-13]win rate 5.9%, top match rate 17.6%, multiple win rate 23.5%
3 framesis[0-0-0-18]win rate 0.0%, top match rate 0.0%, multiple win rate 0.0%
4 framesis[1-1-0-18]win rate 5.0%, top match rate 10.0%, multiple win rate 10.0%
5 framesis[1-1-1-17]win rate 5.0%, top match rate 10.0%, multiple win rate 15.0%
6 framesis[1-2-2-15]win rate 5.0%, top match rate 15.0%, multiple win rate 25.0%
7 framesis[2-2-4-16]win rate 8.3%, top match rate 16.7%, multiple win rate 33.3%
8 framesis[4-2-1-17]win rate 16.7%, top match rate 25.0%, multiple win rate 29.2%
On the other hand, the “outer frame”, which is considered advantageous, is lined with ambush horses.[4-2-1-17]and 8 slots with 7 horses involved in the betting ticket,believer、Sin City、Leggeroentered.[2-2-4-16]Maximum 8 horses in 7 slots in the betting ticketVentovoce、onusinanimono、Christieis included, and there is a turbulent atmosphere this year.
Sentence Spread editorial department
Follow me if you like this article
Stay up-to-date
