Agatha will have to deal with the mountains of the Sierra Madre Oriental before exiting the Gulf of Mexico, which means the weakening of the cyclone.
Once the remnants of Agatha go out to sea, the NHC grants a 20% chance of development.
The shear winds might prevent or delay Agatha from regaining strength, but if the cyclonic phenomenon manages to get out to sea, the conditions might be favorable for its development.
However, meteorologists point out that it is still too early to make forecasts and urge the population of South Florida to be aware of the weather forecasts.
In fact, the cyclone season begins on June 1 and the National Oceanography and Atmospheric Science Authority (NOOA) forecasts that it might be more active than normal, given the presence of the natural phenomenon La Niña, which tends to reduce the flow of winds. sharp, which do so much damage to cyclones.
The report raises the possibility of 14 to 21 storms with winds greater than 39 miles per hour, regarding 62 kilometers per hour.
Of those, six to 10 would be hurricanes and three to six might exceed winds of 111 miles per hour, regarding 178 kilometers per hour.
Let us remember that the forecast is subject to change, depending on the development of temperature and winds in the sea and the lower layers of the atmosphere, and that the figures indicated do not apply only to a specific area, but to the entire Atlantic zone, including Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
A “normal” cyclonic season supposes the creation of 14 tropical storms and seven hurricanes, three of them major.
The last two seasons have also been more active than normal, with a record 30 storms in 2020 and 21 cyclonic events in 2021.
