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2022.05.21
the past 10 years,OaksThe result of the most popular horse in Japan is[5-2-1-2]. Furthermore, the 2nd most popular horse is[1-3-3-3]and the 3rd most popular horse is[3-0-1-6]. It is forbidden to aim for an unreasonable hole, but the 9th popular Meisho Mambo won in 2013, and the 16th popular ambush Hagino Pilina rushed to 3rd place last year.
Looking at the battle process of 30 horses in the betting ticket area from 2012 to 2009, one clear tendency emerges. Of the 30 horses, 26 were the horses that were on the bulletin board in the previous race. In recent years, the aforementioned Hagino Pilina has entered the Oaks from the 1st place in the Yaguruma Award and is the 16th most popular 3rd place. Win Marilyn, the 7th most popular 2nd place in 20 years, won the Flora Stakes, and Win Mighty, the 13th most popular place in the same year, won the Forgotten Grass Award. I was facing the production from. From these facts, it can be said that the momentum of the previous run is important regardless of the race.
On the other hand, the four leaked horses are Admire Miyabi with 12 Oka Sho in 2017, Rouge Buck with 9 Oka Sho in 2017, Bounce Chasse with 11 Satsuki Sho in 2014, and Meisho with 10 Oka Sho in 2013. Both Mambo and the previous race are GI races. The bounce chasse of the stallion classic is a rare case, so the exception is Admire Miyabi, which is the second most popular at the Oka Sho, Rouge Buck is the most popular, and Meisho Mambo is the fourth most popular. Was. I cried at the mile of Incheon, but there is a good chance that it will strike back at 2400m in Fuchu.
In other words, what you should aim for at Oaks is “a horse that is more than the previous bulletin board” or “a big defeated horse that was popular at the Oka Sho”. I saw the ambush lurking in this.
■ Love Pillow
The previous run was the 5 million class Mimosa Award. If you push it from the start and steal Hana, you will proceed at your own pace along the way, and as it is, you will shake off the subsequent pursuit and decide to escape and win. He hadn’t registered for Classics originally, so he paid an additional registration fee of 2 million yen to enter Oaks.
The first victory was a 1700m dirt race, and in the turf race of Ryobaba, it was not good at the speed game with 6th place twice, but it is an interesting existence if it becomes a development where power and sustainability can be utilized. Fortunately, the weather forecast is an umbrella mark from Saturday night to dawn. I saw that there was a chance if I might bring it to my own development in a heavy riding ground like the previous run.
In the last 10 years, 5 slots are good slots with 3 wins and the most wins in Thailand, and even-numbered slots with less stress on the gate are also good materials. Two weeks ago, NHK Mile Cup 5th frame 10th Singari popular Kawakita Reverie produced a turbulence with 3rd place, and last week’s Victoria Mile also 5th frame 10th 18th popular Rosa Noir was 4th place. This week as well, No. 5 and No. 10 gather the enthusiastic gaze of the hole parties.
▼ UMAJIN Channel “Winning! Okai Juku-Oaks Edition”
Author profile
Tsuyoshi Yamada ● Editor-in-chief of “SPREAD”
Former editor-in-chief of horse racing monthly magazine, and now editor-in-chief of media “SPREAD” that reads the future of sports. He has been pursuing the Anoma conjecture ever since he was shocked by the runaway of the 16th most popular 2nd place Meisho Tesoro in the 1995 Mile CS. “Uma Musume” is recommended by Gold Ship.