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2022.04.22
It is a trial with priority entry to Oaks.Flora SIs the Kitasan Black piece that received the most popular support at Shinzan Kinen.RasulAnd won the Daisy Award in the previous raceRouge EvailleGood-blooded horse Rouge Styria, etc. are also scheduled to participate.
Looking at the results by popularity over the past 10 years, the most popular[3-1-0-6]is a little unsatisfactory, but the 1st to 5th popularity is[9-6-5-30]which is the top popularity. It tends to be settled at. However, the big upheaval in 2017 and 2009 pushed up the Maren average dividend to 10,192 yen, which has become a difficult step race in recent years.
This time, it is expected that the most popular horse will be taken up as “dangerous popular horse” of Flora S.Rasulis.
■ A wall with a “win rate of 0%” counterclockwise in the previous run
Rasul gained popularity with a win of 2.1 times in the new horse race. The gate started when the weight was on the hind legs, so it was regarding two horses away from the other horses, but immediately attached to the front team with two legs and proceeded with the horse race in 4th place in the inn. Although he seemed to be a little strong, he ran away in a straight line and exchanged horses smoothly, and the fastest climb was 34 seconds 0, which was a victory of three and a half horses.
Although he received the most popular support at the Shinzan Kinen in the second race that followed, he was late at the gate, which was a concern, and used his legs to break it down, losing to 7th place. Then, in the 3-year-old 1-win class (Tokyo Shiba 1600m) in the previous race, which was greeted to make a comeback, he attached to the front team from the start of the 5th minute and broke out in a straight line to make a good victory by two horses.
In addition to the pedigree background of Kitasan Black production pieces, speed ability, sharpness, and engine performance are all top class in the generation, and if Lemaire jockey continues to ride this time, expectations for the first victory of the heavy prize will increase. However, the difficulty of the gate has not improved even in the previous run, and in addition to the possibility of being late this time, the top teams such as Matenrou Orion and Solitario who allowed the first-come-first-served basis before the second run have not been able to produce results, and the race level is high. Considering that it was not so expensive, it is not something that can be fully trusted.
Looking at the results by racetrack in the previous race,
・ Tokyo Racecourse[0-2-2-24]
・ Chukyo Racecourse[0-0-0-4]
・ Hanshin Racecourse[4-2-3-35]
・ Nakayama Racecourse[5-6-4-69]
The left-handed horse in the previous race, which was thought to work in this way, has not won in the last 10 years. Rasul has been used counterclockwise in all three races so far, but Flora S should be bought from the horse that experienced clockwise in the previous run.
Also, as mentioned above, the most popular[3-1-0-6]in the past 10 years is a little unsatisfactory, and the same Kitasan Black piece Equinox came in second at the Satsuki Sho last week. Due to the good run, Rasul of the same production piece will inevitably be promoted to the top popularity. However, even from the data that corresponds to a winning percentage of 0%, it can be said that the popularity and reliability are not balanced.
Considering the betting ticket-like taste here, the popular corner of Rasul is called “Erase“.If you imagine the member composition of this year and the tendency of Tokyo Shiba 2000m in the opening week, you won the daisy award in the clockwise direction of the previous run.Rouge EvailleFocusing onRouge Styria、Ho-Oh Vanilla、Personal high、Erica VitaI would like to evaluate the horses that can race from a certain position and have achieved results even on the steep slopes of Nakayama and Hanshin.
Written by Koki Nishikan (SPREAD editorial department)
