The outgoing head of state collects 26% of voting intentions for the Elabe, OpinionWay and Ifop Fiducial institutes, 26.5% according to Ipsos Sopra Steria and 27% according to the Harris Interactive study.
Ms. Le Pen is given 22% by OpinionWay, 23% by Ipsos, 24% for Ifop and Harris Interactive and 25% for Elabe, or one point from the Head of State.
Given the margin of error, the order of arrival on Sunday seems particularly uncertain, especially since Emmanuel Macron’s voting intention curve has continued to fall in recent days, unlike that of Ms. Le Pen, constantly rising.
In 2017, Emmanuel Macron won 24.01% of the votes cast once morest 21.30% for his far-right competitor.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon, given at 16.5% (Ipsos), 17% (OpinionWay, Ifop), 17.5% (Elabe) or even 18% (Harris Interactive), also continues to progress but does not seem able to reach the second round.
In the second round, in the event that Emmanuel Macron faces Marine Le Pen, all the studies still give a slight advantage to the Head of State, but constantly shrinking and within the margin of error.
Only OpinionWay gives the outgoing president a comfortable lead (54% once morest 46%), while Ipsos gives him 53% of voting intentions ( once morest 47%), Ifop 52% ( once morest 48%), Harris interactive 51, 5% ( once morest 48.5%) and Elabe 51% ( once morest 49%).
The campaign ended Friday evening at midnight in mainland France. Public meetings, distribution of leaflets and digital propaganda of the candidates will be prohibited. If no interview or poll or estimate of results can be published in France before the results on Sunday at 8:00 p.m., this is not the case in Belgium where Sudinfo.be will bring you the latest indiscretions live throughout the day. .
