Today (20), there were 3 new local cases and 118 foreign immigrants, and epidemic prevention still cannot be relaxed. In this regard, psychiatrist Pan Jianzhi compared the epidemic situation in Taiwan and Hong Kong, and pointed out that the “enemy of the final battle in Taiwan” was not Omicron, and he was even more worried that if the situation in Hong Kong happened in Taiwan, the result would be completely unimaginable!
Pan Jianzhi analyzed on Facebook that the new crown epidemic has not yet passed, and Taiwan’s ultimate enemy is “BA.2, not Omicron”. This can be seen from the current situation in the world, especially in Hong Kong, where the number of deaths has continued to rise in the past month. It has climbed upwards, and today it has reached 5401 cases. From the perspective of gene sequencing, “currently 100% is BA.2”. What is worrying is that Hong Kong’s epidemic prevention strength is much greater than that of Taiwan. Seriousness, no worse than Taiwan.
Under the comparison of various data, the reason why Taiwan was able to hold on, but Hong Kong broke out, may be because Hong Kong was given the vaccine earlier than Taiwan, the antibody gradually declined week by week, and the protection was not enough, while Taiwan was still protected for 3 months. period. Not only that, the world, including Europe and Asia, has new daily confirmed cases because BA.2 began to reverse and increase, which is also the reason why Taiwan moved in 120 cases yesterday, showing that there is an outbreak of BA.2 in China. risk.
▼Pan Jianzhi pointed out that Taiwan’s biggest enemy is “BA.2”. (Picture / Retrieved from Pan Jianzhi’s Facebook)
In addition, some Hong Kong scholars have calculated that the number of people infected with the virus will double in just 1.28 days, that is to say, the increase of 2 to the 10th power in 13 days is equal to 1024 times, and the infectious power is amazing. “BA.2 It is true that the transmission power is 50% higher than that of Omicron.”
Pan Jianzhi also pointed out the reason why BA.2 is difficult to prevent. It is impossible to prevent the spread of the virus by carrying masks when going out. Because people live at home, people will not wear masks, and air/aerosol will spread between the air ducts of epidemic prevention hotels and residential buildings. , first spread at home and in the same building, then residents go to another building to visit relatives and friends, enter the room to take off the mask, and then spread it to another household and building, the virus spreads like this.
It can be seen from this that vaccines become very important due to the limitations of NPIs such as the isolation frame. Pan Jianzhi said that Hong Kong scholars also believe that the protection of vaccines only lasts for 3 months, while the third dose in Taiwan is only 46%. There is room for improvement, and the population of Taiwan is three times larger than that of Hong Kong, so if the outbreak in Hong Kong is staged in Taiwan, it is unimaginable how many people will die from the virus.
(Cover image/pixabay)
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