While the summoned are arriving -Christian Cueva, Carlos Zambrano and Luis Advíncula arrived yesterday-, while Ricardo Gareca is planning how to play Colombia and Ecuador, the fan takes his calculator and crosses his fingers so that the results in the Qatar 2022 Qualifying that benefit the peruvian national team occur and so we can see her once more in the World Cup. This Friday Peru faces Colombia in Barranquilla and it will be the first great national challenge.
READ ALSO: Peru vs. Colombia: the three doubts that Ricardo Gareca must solve in less than a week
With the victories last November, Peru was placed in the qualifying zone and will fight in these last four games to maintain that privilege. However, considering the background, it will not be easy at all. According to the statistician Jesús Chirinos, from They are data not opinions, due to the antecedents, Peru should add six of the twelve points in dispute, the two at home. With this, he would reach 23 points in the final table, a figure that would allow him to be fifth if the trends of results in the other duels are maintained.
But there is a risk that Uruguay will take our place if they manage to improve their goal difference (-5 for Peru and -7 for the charrúas), for that reason, the great challenge for the Blanquirroja will be to overcome those 23 points, for which they are obliged to score in one of their two departures from home.
“We must win the two home games and draw at least one draw or once morest Colombia and Uruguay to qualify for the World Cup, direct or playoff depending on the results”, calculates Jesus Chirinos.
Game | Result | Given |
---|---|---|
vs. Colombia | Condition: visit Projection: defeat |
Peru has not beaten him 20 years ago |
vs. Ecuador | Condition: local Projection: victory |
4 wins in a row for Peru |
vs. Uruguay | Condition: visit Projection: defeat |
We didn’t win 17 years ago |
vs. Paraguay | Condition: local Projection: victory |
Paraguay has never won in Lima |
Tying once morest Colombia (this Friday) or Uruguay (in March) would not only give us a point of calm (considering that we will beat Ecuador and Paraguay in Lima), but it would also complicate the options of the aforementioned rivals. Peru, for better or for worse, has the advantage of facing direct countries in the fight for the quota and there are antecedents that motivate.
“We have beaten Colombia more times on the road (2) than at home (1) in the entire history of the Qualifiers, while Peru has already won twice on the road once morest Uruguay,” Jesús tells us. As in Quito or Caracas, Gareca will go for a new national feat.
But there is another factor that can help Peru. The only country that faces both coffee growers and Orientals in these last four dates is Venezuela. If the llaneros manage to steal a point in Montevideo or beat Colombia on the last date, it would be a great help for the Bicolor, since it would make our direct rivals not exceed the 23-point line.
Opponent in Playoffs | Projections of your results | I would add in 4 dates | Position and end points |
---|---|---|---|
Ecuador 3° – 23 pts |
vs. Brazil – home – tie vs. Peru – visit – defeat vs. Paraguay – away – loss vs. Argentina – home – draw |
2 pts | 3° – 25 pts |
Colombia 4° – 17 pts |
vs. Peru – home – victory vs. Argentina – away – lost vs. Bolivia – home win vs. Venezuela – away – draw |
7 pts | 4° – 24 pts |
Peru 5° – 17 pts |
vs. Colombia – visit – defeat vs. Ecuador – home – victory vs. Uruguay – away – lost vs. Paraguay – home – victory |
6 pts | 5°/6° – 23 pts |
Uruguay 7° – 16 pts |
vs. Paraguay – away – draw vs. Venezuela – home – victory vs. Peru – home – victory vs. Chile – visit – defeat |
7 pts | 5°/6° – 23 pts *Place would depend on goal difference. Today Peru has -5 and Uruguay – 7 |
Chile 6° – 16 pts |
vs. Argentina – home – draw vs. Bolivia – away – draw vs. Brazil – away – lost vs. Uruguay – home – victory |
5 pts | 7° – 21 pts |
Paraguay 9° – 13 pts |
vs. Uruguay – home – draw vs. Brazil – away – lost vs. Ecuador – home – victory vs. Peru – visit – defeat |
4 pts | 8° – 17 pts |
Source: Jesús Chirinos / They are data not opinions |
Another option
The most optimistic side of the team is to fight to add the six points of the double date -Colombia and Ecuador-, which would leave us one step away from the World Cup, since with 23 points we might be fourth. Colombia might stay at 17 (Peru and Argentina), Uruguay reach 20 and Chile at 18. The advantage over a possible fifth would be 3 points and five over the sixth.
The news of the rivals dictates that Colombia comes from five games without being able to win or score, but two of those games were once morest Brazil. The concrete thing is that in their last three home games they have not passed 0-0 once morest Brazil, Ecuador and Paraguay. However, in their last friendly, they beat Honduras 2-1 on January 16.
In addition, the coffee growers arrive with some casualties for the duel. This Saturday it was learned of the absence of Luis Fernando Muriel due to health issues, adding to the casualties of Duván Zapata and Juan Fernando Quintero, both due to injury. However, you still have figures like James Rodríguez, Radamel Falcao and Luis Díaz.