2024 Presidential Election: Blue and White Alliance Negotiations and National Polling Proposal

2023-11-10 16:01:00
2023-11-11 00:01 Lianhe Daily Editorial At a critical moment in the “Blue and White” negotiations for the presidential election, former President Ma Ying-jeou proposed a “national poll” to jointly recommend the Blue and White presidential and vice presidential candidates…

Blue and White have been disconnected for many days. It seems difficult to win the game, and it is difficult to publicly announce that it is broken. Ko Wenzhe recently released three self-made polls, claiming that he beat Lai Qingde in all three polls, while Hou Youyi only beat Lai Qingde in one poll; on average, he beat Hou Youyi by 8 percentage points. Hou Youyi criticized that the weighting of the poll had a large error. In addition, multiple polls showed that his support was leading. If both of them think that they are better in the polls, then why not let the public opinion poll decide the winner and stop being stuck on the method of generating the pairing.

Previous traditional polls conducted by various organizations have almost never shown that Ko Wenzhe “completely defeated” Lai Qingde. However, the poll commissioned by Ke Wenzhe showed that he “led the way”, which seemed too good to be true. It can be seen that the poll’s title, sampling, conduct method, weighting and even the fairness of the commissioning unit may affect the credibility of the survey. Just imagine, if Ke Wenzhe thinks these three polls are credible, then why should he wait so hard for the “blue and white combination” and even go to form an alliance with Terry Gou? He can win the country by himself, right?

Many political circles did not take these three strange polls too seriously. People focused more on Ke Wenzhe’s “motivation” in throwing out these numbers. Most opinions believe that its main purpose is to force the blue camp to make concessions on the method of selecting chief and deputy candidates, abandon the practice of adding Japanese or German models, and respect him. In the final stage of negotiations, Ke Wenzhe adopted this kind of surprise attack, which indeed made the blue camp feel disrespected and aggravated the dissatisfaction of die-hard loyalists. Lai Ching-te, who ranked “behind” in Ko’s three polls, also said that Ko Wenzhe obviously wanted to use the polls to preemptively force the abandonment of bail.

The two parties who are talking regarding cooperation will indeed increase the difficulty and difficulty in cooperating with each other. Ke Wenzhe must also be careful of its boomerang effect. But in any case, if the goals of Blue and White remain unchanged, the original intention of echoing the democratic aspirations of the majority of the people remains, and the will to jointly create political party rotation remains unchanged, the two parties should still use the limited time to intensify consultations and promote cooperation. Judging from the current situation, since both Hou Youyi and Ke Wenzhe claim to be “leading in the polls,” why not let the battle be decided by the polls? The important thing is that the blue and white parties must work together to remove the DPP, and technical issues should not be the biggest obstacle.

Former President Ma Ying-jeou yesterday, represented by his foundation CEO Xiao Xucen, publicly called on the Blue and White parties to conduct a “universal poll” with this in mind. First, there are only ten days left to register for the general election, and time is very tight. There is no other alternative at the moment; second, Blue and White must cooperate to have a sufficient chance of winning; third, to call on supporters of both parties to cooperate, there must be A public mechanism to convince them.

People can understand Ma Ying-jeou’s concerns, and his appeal is necessary. The recent negotiation between Blue and White has not gone well, and many people in the Blue Camp are extremely dissatisfied with Ke Wenzhe’s intention to “compete with small things to win big things” and his scheming at every turn. Because of this, the voice within the party of “following its own path” has become louder, and it feels that if it is better to give it a try, the electoral situation may not be too bad. However, giving up the blue-white alliance is tantamount to giving up the opportunity to participate in governance once more, and its subsequent effects will not only affect the election of legislators, but even affect the future development of the entire party and country. Therefore, giving up cooperation is not only unwise, but also irresponsible. If Hou Ke and Hou Ke are leading each other in the popular polls, then why not let the decision be made in the national polls? Even if the Green Camp may be trying to influence the polls, whether they deliberately choose to support Ke or Hou, they can still promote Hou Ke’s match, right?

More importantly, when negotiating the operation methods of the polls, the blue and white parties must negotiate the basic framework and principles for the operation of the future “coalition government” and “right to form a cabinet.” Only in this way can we ensure that no matter which party is right, the other party will have the power to govern commensurate with the strength of its party. Otherwise, if the current political operation model is reduced to “winner takes all”, such a risk will be absolutely unacceptable to the Kuomintang.

The key to whether Blue and White can cooperate lies in how committed the leaders on both sides are to their own parties and political missions. It is easy to mess up the Blue and White combination, but to make it happen, you need to have great responsibility and wisdom.

Editorial 2024 Elections 2024 Presidential Elections Blue and White

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