2023 College Football Conference Championship Betting Odds and Matchup Analysis

2023-11-29 21:30:00
Nov 29, 2023, 04:30 PM ET

Here are the betting lines and totals for all of the conference championship matchups in Week 14.

Odds provided by ESPN BET.

Conference USA Championship

New Mexico State at No. 24 Liberty (-11)
Friday, 7 p.m. ET, Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg, VA

Money Line: New Mexico State (+340); Liberty (-425)
Game Total: 56.5 points
Team Records (ATS): New Mexico State 10-3 (10-2-0); Liberty 12-0 (7-5-0)
FPI Favorite: Liberty by 13.6 (83.2% chance to win outright)

Betting nuggets

New Mexico State has covered 6 straight road games.

New Mexico State has covered 6 straight as an underdog.

Liberty is 4-0 once morest teams with winning records in 2023.

Liberty is 3-10 ATS as double-digit favorite since 2022.

Pac-12 Championship

No. 5 Oregon at No. 3 Washington (-9.5)
Friday, 8 p.m. ET, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV

Money Line: Oregon (-380); Washington (+300)
Game Total: 65.5 points
Team Records (ATS): Oregon 11-1 (8-2-1); Washington 12-0 (5-6-1)
FPI Favorite: Oregon by 9.7 (75.8% chance to win outright)

Betting nuggets

Oregon is 9-2 ATS as a favorite in 2023.

Oregon is 15-3-1 ATS vs Washington since 2004.

Oregon has had 3 straight games once morest team with winning records go under the total.

Washington has covered 3 straight games as an underdog dating back to last season.

16 of Washington’s last 24 games vs ranked teams have gone under the total.

Dr Pepper Big 12 Championship

No. 18 Oklahoma State at No. 7 Texas (-10)
Saturday, 12 p.m. ET, AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Money Line: Oklahoma State (+500); Texas (-700)
Game Total: 55.5 points
Team Records (ATS): Oklahoma State 9-3 (7-4-0); Texas 11-1 (6-5-1)
FPI Favorite: Texas by 17 (88.1% chance to win outright)

Betting nuggets

Oklahoma State has covered four straight games as an underdog.

Oklahoma State is 19-5-1 ATS once morest ranked teams since 2018.

Oklahoma State has had eight of its last nine games in November or later go under the total.

Texas has been favored in 19 straight games once morest conference opponents (15-4 SU, 11-8 ATS in that span).

MAC Championship

Miami (OH) at Toledo (-8)
Saturday, 12 p.m. ET, Ford Field, Detroit, MI

Money Line: Toledo (-290), Miami (OH) (+240)
Game Total: 44.5 points
Team Records (ATS): Toledo 11-1 (6-6-0); Miami (OH) 10-2 (9-3-0)
FPI Favorite: Toledo by 3.5 (60.2% chance to win outright)

Betting nuggets

Miami-Ohio is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games.

Miami-Ohio has covered three straight games as an underdog.

Toledo has failed to cover three straight games once morest teams with winning records.

Toledo is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 as a favorite.

Mountain West Championship

Boise State (-2.5) at UNLV
Saturday, 3 p.m. ET, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV

Money Line: Boise State (-130); UNLV (+110)
Game Total: 58.5 points
Team Records (ATS): Boise State 7-5 (6-4-2); UNLV 9-3 (9-2-0)
FPI Favorite: Boise State by 2 (55.9% chance to win outright)

Betting nuggets

UNLV is 10-2 ATS this season (T-best ATS record in FBS this season).

UNLV has covered five straight games as an underdog in 2023.

Boise State has had five of its six road games go over the total this season.

Boise State has failed to cover in four straight games in December or later.

SEC Championship

No. 1 Georgia at No. 8 Alabama (-5.5)
Saturday, 4 p.m. ET, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Money Line: Georgia (-225); Alabama (+190)
Game Total: 54.5 points
Team Records (ATS): Georgia 12-0 (4-6-1); Alabama 11-1 (8-4-0)
FPI Favorite: Georgia by 0.7 (52.1% chance to win outright)

Betting nuggets

Georgia is 12-4 ATS once morest ranked teams since 2021.

Georgia is 15-6 ATS in December or later since 2012.

Alabama is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games in November or later.

Nine of the last 11 meetings have gone over the total.

American Athletic Championship

SMU (-3.5) at No. 22 Tulane
Saturday, 4 p.m. ET, Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA

Money Line: SMU (+150); Tulane (-175)
Game Total: 47.5 points
Team Records (ATS): SMU 10-2 (7-5-0); Tulane 11-1 (5-7-0)
FPI Favorite: SMU by 8.3 (72.5% chance to win outright)

Betting nuggets

SMU has failed to cover five straight games as a road underdog since 2022.

Ten of Tulane’s 12 games this season have gone under the total.

Tulane is 18-8 ATS as a home favorite since 2019.

Three straight meetings and 8 of the last 10 have gone over the total.

Sun Belt Championship

Appalachian State at Troy (-6)
Saturday, 4 p.m. ET, Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy, AL

Money Line: Appalachian State (+195); Troy (-230)
Game Total: 52.5 points
Team Records (ATS): Appalachian State 8-4 (6-4-1); Troy 10-2 (7-4-0)
FPI Favorite: Troy by 6.6 (68.5% chance to win outright)

Betting nuggets

Troy has failed to cover four straight games once morest teams with winning records in 2023.

Troy has covered seven straight games in December or later since 2017.

Three straight meetings have gone over the total but four straight App State games have gone under.

Appalachian State is 10-2-1 ATS as an underdog since 2018.

Big Ten Championship

No. 2 Michigan at No. 16 Iowa (-21.5)
Saturday, 8 p.m. ET, Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN

Money Line: Michigan (-2500); Iowa (+1300)
Game Total: 35.5 points
Team Records (ATS): Michigan 12-0 (6-5-1); Iowa 10-2 (6-6-0)
FPI Favorite: Michigan by 21.6 (92.6% chance to win outright)

Betting nuggets

Iowa games have gone 10-2 to the under this season.

The over/under of 35.5 points is the lowest in a conference championship since 2000.

Michigan has covered three straight meetings.

Iowa has failed to cover four straight games once morest top-10 teams.

Fourteen-plus point favorites this season have gone 150-175-4 ATS.

Michigan is 4-1-1 ATS with Jim Harbaugh coaching (2-4 ATS without Jim Harbaugh).

ACC Championship

No. 14 Louisville at No. 4 Florida State (-2.5)
Saturday, 8 p.m. ET, Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC

Money Line: Louisville (+115); Florida State (-135)
Game Total: 47.5 points
Team Records (ATS): Louisville 10-2 (5-6-1); Florida State 12-0 (7-5-0)
FPI Favorite: Florida State by 9.1 (74.4% chance to win outright)

Betting Nuggets

Louisville is 6-0 ATS following loss since 2022.

Florida State is 0-4 ATS over their past four games.

Louisville is 4-1 ATS once morest ranked teams since 2021.

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